President Donald Trump doubled his threat to delay the November election and raised concerns that mail-in polls could lead to "manipulated" and "crooked" results, as one of the most prominent conservative members of the Republican Party said, Trump should be indicted on this matter.
Trump said in a short press conference at the White House on Thursday evening that he did not want the elections to be delayed, but he also did not want mail-in ballots to be lost, indicating his refusal to use mail-in. The vote remains pending Issue related to the general election.
The President and some Republicans have raised the unproven claim that postal voting leads to fraud, and they have also questioned the ability of the U.S. Postal Service to deliver all ballots to the various state election bodies.
"We're asking for a lot of trouble," Trump said. & # 39; Do I want to see a date change? No, but I don't want to see crooked elections. This choice will be the most manipulated choice in history. & # 39;
President Donald Trump doubled his threat to delay the November election and raised concerns that mail-in polls could lead to "manipulated" and "crooked" results
President Trump said he was concerned that mail-in polls, which many states are considering as an alternative to personal polls to combat the spread of the coronavirus, could result in missing ballots and a "rigged" election
More and more states are considering mail-in voting options to counter the coronavirus pandemic. The Republicans, however, believe that they prefer electoral blocks that Democrats vote and sue several states to stop the process.
"I don't want to hesitate," Trump added. & # 39; I want to have a choice. But I don't want to have to wait three months to find out that all the ballot papers are missing and the choice means nothing. That will happen. & # 39;
"And everyone knows," he added. & # 39; Smart people know it. Stupid people may not know. Some people don't want to talk about it. But you know it. & # 39;
A prominent conservative, Steven Calabresi – the co-founder of the Federalist Society – said Trump's tweet Thursday morning calling for a delay in the election was grounds for impeachment.
A prominent conservative, Steven Calabresi – the co-founder of the Federalist Society – said Trump's tweet Thursday morning calling for a delay in the election was grounds for impeachment
"This latest tweet is fascist and itself prompted the House to remove the President immediately and the Senate remove him," Calabresi wrote in a commentary for the New York Times.
The explanation was shocking as Calabresi voted for Trump in 2016 and is highly valued in the party's right wing. The Federalist Society has worked closely with the Trump administration to appoint judges to the Bundesbank and the Supreme Court.
Calabresi pointed out that the United States has never canceled an election – not even in wartime – so we should certainly not even consider canceling the election in the autumn as the President has concerns about postal voting caused by concerns Covid19 is likely to increase. & # 39;
He argued that the choice of postal vote was up to each state, not the federal government, based on Article II of the Constitution.
Trump also claimed that his bombing attempt to delay the November election was only one way to get the media to speak about his allegations of absenteeism, and added he expected the night of November 3 To know election results.
"I'm glad I got the dishonest LameStream media to finally talk about the RISKS of our democracy through dangerous universal mail-in voting (not postal voting, which I fully support!)," He tweeted before his Press conference.
The presidents are not authorized to change the date of the election. This must be done through an act of Congress. And Republican senators, including several Trump allies, quickly said that this would not happen.
President Donald Trump claimed his bombing attempt to delay the November election was just one way to get the media to talk about mail-in voting
Trump then argued that he wanted to point out his argument that mail-in-voting causes fraud. Numerous studies have shown that this is not the case and that there is very little election fraud in America.
The president also called for another demand – to find out the results on election night. Given that many states are expanding the options for mail-in voting to limit exposure to the coronavirus, the results of the contest are likely to take a few days as each ballot is counted with a November 3 postmark.
Even the results of 2016, which were used personally for the majority of the votes, did not become known until the next day.
"Must know the election results on the night of the election, not days, months, or even years later!" Trump wrote.
And he added: “We will WIN the 2020 election, BIG! #MAGA & # 39;
His chief of staff, Mark Meadows on Capitol Hill, who should be working on negotiations on the Coronavirus Aid Package, said the President's request for delay was due to concerns over how long it would take for a national mail-in election to be tabulated be.
"He highlights what he firmly believes in and what billions of Americans believe that trying to achieve universal postal voting through his role will delay election results," Meadows told reporters on Capitol Hill.
He pointed out that the results of some races in New York's primaries last month were still pending as the electoral agency counted the ballots.
"Can you imagine what it would be like if we were waiting for who the President of the United States would be on the ballot papers?" Meadows said.
The winner of the presidential election would not be sworn into office until Wednesday, January 20, 2021, which would give almost three months for all ballots to be counted.
In 2000, the winner of the George W. Bush and Al Gore contest was announced after numerous Florida recounts and a Supreme Court ruling on December 12.
Meadows also questioned the ability of the U.S. postal service to ensure the security of postal ballot papers. Another question Republicans ask in the fight against postal ballot papers.
“Universal mail in ballot papers, you would raise the question of whether each ballot when it leaves the election board and is mailed to someone who is registered is returned and whether that ballot is actually secure. I would suggest knowing the United States Postal Service as well as I do – and no disrespect for the big men and women who work in the postal system – I don't know that we have a high level of trust in custody of these ballots can be the same as giving your ballot personally, ”he added.
Trump's clarification also comes after Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell and other top Republicans rejected his proposal to postpone the November election until "people can vote correctly, safely and safely".
McConnell pointed out that elections had not been delayed in the past and did not have to be now.
“Never in the history of the country through wars, depression and civil war have we ever had a choice planned by the federal government in good time. And we'll find a way to do it again on November 3rd, ”McConnell told a local television station in Kentucky.
He confirmed that he expected the election on November 3rd. "That's true. We will deal with the situation in the November 3 elections as planned. & # 39;
Republican Senate chairman Mitch McConnell rejected President Donald Trump's proposal to postpone the November election
Even some of President Trump's best Republican allies on Capitol Hill disagreed with his proposal to postpone the competition on November 3
Republican Senator Lindsey Graham (left) and GOP President Kevin McCarthy (right), two of Trump's top allies, said the election should not be delayed
Other Republicans agreed.
"I don't think we should postpone the elections. Delaying the election would probably not be a good idea. I think we can certainly vote in person in November, ”said Senator Lindsey Graham, a close ally of Trump on Capitol Hill.
Senator Rick Scott, another Trump ally, said he "did not agree to delay the election."
Senator Chuck Grassley, the president of the Senate, said the country would abide by the law on the election date.
“All of these things are pretty well set up and have been going on for decades. So we are a constitutional country where no one will change anything until we change the law, ”he said.
Senator Ted Cruz said electoral fraud should be investigated, but that doesn't mean postponing the election.
“I think electoral fraud is a serious problem and we have to fight it and stop it. But no, we shouldn't delay the choice, ”he said.
And Republican leader of the house, Kevin McCarthy, who is also close to Trump, said there should be no delay.
"We have never held elections in the history of the general election and we should continue," he said.
Trump's statement came immediately after the news that the U.S. economy contracted 33 percent in the April-June quarter.
This number marks the worst quarterly slump ever and is due to the corona virus pandemic closing companies, making tens of millions of people unemployed and increasing unemployment to 14.7 percent. Trump has put his reelection chances on a strong US economy. The voters gave him good marks in his economic policy, but he was persuaded to deal with the corona virus and racial relations.
Democrats accused the president of trying to distract from the terrible economic news.
& # 39; Trump's threat is nothing more than a desperate attempt to distract from today's devastating economic data, which make it clear that his failed response to the corona virus has given the US economy a boost and caused tens of millions of Americans to do their jobs to lose. Trump can tweet what he wants, but the reality is that he can't delay the election, and in November voters will hold him accountable for his mistakes that have had catastrophic consequences for the American people, "said Lily, Spokeswoman for the Democratic National Committee of Adams.
Trump combined his proposal to delay the election with his complaints about mail-in polls, which he has repeatedly objected to, and which will lead to election fraud. Numerous studies have shown that there is very little electoral fraud by mail-in voting in the United States.
& # 39; With universal mail-in voting (not postal voting, which is good), 2020 will be the most inaccurate and fraudulent choice in history. It will be a big embarrassment for the United States. Delay the vote until people can vote correctly, safely and securely ??? Trump tweeted.
Unemployment claims rose again last week after falling 15 weeks in a row since the peak in late March when the coronavirus shutdowns initially occurred
President Donald Trump proposed postponing the November election until "people can vote correctly, safely and securely".
Market reaction: How Dow sank via Trump Tweet
WHO WILL DECIDE WHEN US VOTES?
The White House has little or nothing to say at the time of the elections – it has already been determined by Congress.
The constitution limits the term of office of the president on January 20 and stipulates responsibility for the election of a new electoral college made up of the voters of the states.
It then says that Congress must select the date for the election of voters, which must be the same across the country.
Initially, not all states chose voters by referendum, but when they did, and with the advent of instant telegraph communication, it became clear that there had to be a national election date.
In 1845, Congress itself set the date of the presidential election as the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November.
It hasn't changed since then and would need an act of Congress to change it. Given the Democrats' influence on the house, this seems impossible.
However, the White House has room to pressure states to postpone elections for a few weeks.
The constitutional requirement for them to elect their voters does not set a date – but in 1948, Congress did so as "the first Monday after the second Wednesday in December".
In theory, states could postpone their elections – but that would put the country on the brink of a constitutional crisis and seems highly unlikely.
Hogan Gidley, spokesman for President Trump's re-election campaign, said the president only questioned the legitimacy of the postal vote.
& # 39; The President is just raising a question about the chaos that the Democrats have caused with their insistence on all mail-in votes.
“They use corona virus as a means to initiate universal mail-in voting. This means that each registered voter will be sent a ballot, regardless of whether they have asked for a ballot or not.
“Voter lists are notoriously full of bad addresses for people who have moved, are not citizens or have even died. The universal mail-in poll results in chaos and significant delays in results, as demonstrated by the New York Congress area code, where we still don't know who won after more than a month, ”said Gidley in a statement.
Attorney General Bill Barr was asked at a hearing on Capitol Hill on Tuesday whether the President was authorized to postpone the competition in November.
"Actually, I have not examined this question in the constitution. I've never been asked the question, I've never looked at it, ”he said.
Barr also said he had "no reason to believe" that the upcoming elections would be "manipulated."
The date of the general election is legally determined as "the Tuesday after the first Monday in November" or "the first Tuesday after November 1", in accordance with Congress's 1845 law. Only new laws could change this date.
In addition, Article II of the Constitution declares that Congress actually sets the election date: “Congress can determine when voters vote and when they should vote. Which day should be the same in the United States? "
But Trump's tweet could arouse fears that already exist among Democrats. The president will use his executive powers – such as the declaration of martial law – to suppress voter turnout in democratic areas such as major cities.
Polls show that suspected democratic candidate Joe Biden is a leader in national polls and in many battlefield countries that will decide on the competition.
Biden has warned that Trump could try to cancel and delegitimize the competition in November if he loses.
"Mark my words: I think he will try to push the election back somehow. Justify why it cannot be held," said Biden during a virtual fundraiser in April.
And Seattle Mayor Jenny Durkan described Trump's decision to send federal forces to US cities with demonstrations in support of the Black Lives Matters movement as "dry-running for martial law."
Durkan said, President Trump, "targeted cities run by democratic mayors. He said it himself."
"He uses law enforcement as a political tool," she told CNN earlier this week. "I hate to say it, but I really believe that we are seeing dry running for martial law. This is a president who uses law enforcement and federal forces for political purposes and who should deter all Americans. & # 39;
Trump also suggested Thursday that mail-in voting would allow foreign interference in the election.
& # 39; Mail-In Voting is already proving to be a catastrophic disaster. Even test areas are far away. The Dems speak of foreign influence in voting, but they know that mail-in voting is an easy way for foreign countries to take part in the race. Even beyond that, there is no exact count! He tweeted.
Many states have decided to expand mail-in voting options for the November competition due to concerns about the coronavirus pandemic.
Trump has weathered these decisions and the Republican Party has created a $ 20 million legal fund to fight them.
The Florida-based president has absenteeized several elections, including the state presidential primaries earlier this year. Vice President Mike Pence and several other members of his administration also voted absently.
However, Trump argues that the absence of votes is different than the widespread postal vote.
According to a Washington Post balance sheet, he has attacked postal voting in interviews, comments, and tweets nearly 70 times since late March, including at least 17 this month.
Attorney General Bill Barr said at a congressional hearing on Tuesday that he had "no reason to believe" that the upcoming elections would be "manipulated."
The alleged democratic candidate Joe Biden has warned President Trump that he may try to delay the November competition
Polls have shown that most Americans, including the Republicans, are voting by mail as the coronavirus pandemic continues.
In mitigating circumstances, such as traveling to work during an election or being bedridden, voters in most states can request postal votes to cast their vote by mail before the election date.
There are five states – Colorado, Hawaii, Oregon, Utah and Washington – that are already voting by mail.
Long lines have plagued several states in their area codes in recent months. The number of polling stations was limited due to the shortage of workers due to the virus. Social distancing measures also mean that the coordination process takes longer.
In the June area code in Georgia, voters waited in line for hours without submitting a ballot paper due to a lack of election workers and socially distant precautions caused by the coronavirus contributed to the problem. Some districts were closed due to the lack of election officials available for work, and the official limited the number of people admitted to the open to prevent the virus from spreading.
Voters went to Twitter to post photos of the long lines and point out polling stations that had not opened at 7 a.m. as scheduled. Technical problems with the new voting system – the touchscreens with scanned ballots at races for President, Senate and dozens of other competitions combined – brought the voting to a standstill.
The voters in Fulton County are waiting in line for the Georgia primary on Tuesday
In May, President Trump threatened to hold federal funds from states like Michigan that sent postal ballot papers to all registered voters.
Trump also criticized the California mail-in election initiative, where registered voters received ballots without having to make a formal request.
Republicans have filed a lawsuit against the move of Democratic Governor Gavin Newsome.
Republicans have long been suspicious that easing the vote would vote for more Democrats. For example, young people tend to be more democratic, but they are also less likely to vote personally.
In addition, the Republicans have long complained about "harvesting ballots" – their name for the process in which someone (usually a party volunteer) collects and sends postal ballot papers from a group of people. Democrats call it collecting ballots.
In two thirds of the states, any qualified voter can vote absently without an excuse, and in one third of the states, an apology is required, according to the National Conference of State Legislatures. But many states – including West Virginia and Virginia – add the fear of the corona virus as a valid excuse to request a postal vote.
America's economy contracted a record-breaking 33% in the worst-ever slump of the last three months as the corona virus took an unprecedented toll – and another 1.4 million have applied for unemployment last week
The U.S. economy shrank at a staggering 33% annual rate in April-June quarter – by far the worst quarterly slump ever – when the coronavirus company closed, unemployed tens of millions and unemployment rose to 14.7%, the government said Thursday.
The Department of Commerce's estimate for the second quarter gross domestic product decline, total production of goods and services, was the strongest such drop in 1947 records.
The worst quarterly contraction to date, a 10% decrease, occurred in 1958 during the Eisenhower government.
The decline in the last quarter followed a 5% decline in the January-March quarter when the economy officially entered a virus-induced recession, ending an 11-year economic expansion, the longest in the United States.
The numbers may be devastating to Donald Trump's re-election – and come from the three months he pushed his reopening and claimed that the US was entering a "transition to size".
But Trump didn't respond to the numbers – instead, 16 minutes after their release, he suggested postponing the November elections, saying that mail-in polls would make them "inaccurate and fraudulent." He has no legal authority to do so; Congress sets the date of the elections. If he does not win a second term, his resignation on January 20 is required by law.
In a second stroke, weekly unemployment statistics showed 1.4 million new unemployment claims – the second consecutive week in which they rose.
Stock markets opened with the Dow Jones falling more than 300 points – although analysts said investors were more startled by Trump's proposal to delay the election than by economic growth numbers that were in line with expectations. By 10 a.m. it had lost 500 points.
Markets were largely supported by the Federal Reserve, which promised to keep interest rates close to zero and inject huge amounts of cash to keep the largest corporations, especially banks, alive.
The Department of Labor report on Thursday was the 19th consecutive week in which more than 1 million people applied for unemployment benefits.
Before the corona virus was hit hard in March, the number of Americans applying for unemployment control had never exceeded 700,000 in a week, even during the Great Recession.
A total of 17 million people receive traditional unemployment benefits, a sign that unemployment checks keep many American families financially alive in times of large job losses and agonizing economic uncertainty.
The pain could soon intensify: an additional weekly unemployment benefit of $ 600 expires, and Congress fought over expanding aid, which would likely be at a reduced level.
The decline in the last quarter was due to a sharp drop in consumer spending, which accounts for around 70% of economic activity.
Consumer spending slumped at an annual rate of 34% as many restaurants, bars, entertainment venues and other retail stores were almost closed and orders stalled.
This followed a decrease of 6.9% in the period from January to March. Major retailers such as JC Penney and Neiman Marcus have filed for bankruptcy.
Corporate investment and residential property also declined sharply in the last quarter. Capital spending declined by 27% and residential property by 38.7%.
Government and local government spending, which was reduced by the loss of tax revenue resulting in layoffs, also decreased annually by 5.6%.
However, total government spending rose 2.7%, reflecting an increase in federal spending of 17.4%. This reflects the more than $ 2 trillion in aid packages that Congress decided to pay $ 1,200 to individuals, small business benefits, and additional unemployment benefits.
The labor market, the most important pillar of the economy, was badly damaged. So far, about a third of the lost jobs have been restored, but the resurgent virus is likely to slow further job growth.
Trump slump: Donald Trump's economy plunged 32.9% in April, May and June this year – a record high as the chaos of the corona viruses spread
Number of unemployed: Millions of people have become unemployed in the chaos caused by the virus – including those looking for work in Omaha, Nebraska
The decline in the last quarter was so dizzying that most analysts expect the economy to experience a strong upturn in the current July-September quarter, which may reach 17% or more annually.
With the increasing number of confirmed coronavirus cases in most states, the fact that more and more companies are forced to withdraw their reopening, and the Republican Senate to cut government aid for the unemployed, the economy could deteriorate in the coming months.
The Trump administration is betting on this result by claiming that the economy will undergo a V-shaped recovery that would be followed by an impressive recovery after the slump in the last quarter of the current quarter – a hoped-for dose of good news about would be reported in late October, not long before election day.
However, many economists speak of a different letter of the alphabet. They find that the economy can only fully recover once the pandemic is over or a vaccine is widely used, and they envision a W-shaped scenario in which a sustained phase of lukewarm growth or recovery can be expected in the current quarter even real growth would follow recession.
"The haircuts come because of the significant economic damage the virus is doing," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, who believes the economy will lose jobs this month after two months of earnings.
"We're going the other way around here," Zandi said.
Analysts warn that if Congress does not provide enough financial support to replace the $ 600 a week surge in unemployment benefits or to provide adequate assistance to businesses, state and local governments, the outlook could deteriorate further.
Republican Senate officials released a $ 1 trillion proposal on Monday, well below the $ 3 trillion the house passed. Democrats and Republicans must fill a huge gap as some elements of Congress's previous emergency programs end.
Massacre: Consumer spending declined and forced companies to close
Recent reports paint a cautious picture of the economy: weekly unemployment claims are still over 1 million, and consumer confidence has plummeted. In Michigan, Florida, Texas and California, there has been a sharp decline, with all confirmed virus cases increasing again.
However, it is more hopeful that sales of new and former homes rose sharply after a sharp fall in the spring thanks to extremely low mortgage rates.
And it was reported on Wednesday that the number of Americans signing house purchase contracts rose 16.6% in June after a record 44% increase in May.
Economists see an increase in government aid essentially as a stop-gap measure to prevent the recession from deepening further.
They agree that the main need is to control the virus, most likely through a vaccine that will most likely not be available until next year.
"If you tell me what will happen to the virus, I will tell you what will happen to the economy," said Sung Won Son, professor of economics at Loyola Marymount University in Los Angeles.
"We are currently seeing rollbacks and a slowdown in activity" due to the increase in virus cases.
Son noted that it took the economy 6½ years to regain the ground it had lost in the 2007-2009 Great Recession. This time the recovery would probably take longer.
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