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The SAGE scientist warns that the coronavirus is causing "turmoil" in ALL age groups


SAGE scientists have warned that the coronavirus is "in an uproar" across the country. Ministers are reported to declare a second national lockdown as early as next week.

They said the upward direction of cases was "very serious" and the government's three tier system slowed the virus but not reversed its spread.

And warning hospitals now treat four times as many women between the ages of 20 and 40 as men. They said this is because women are more likely to work in education and health facilities, which puts them at higher risk of exposure to the virus.

"Tier Three probably slows growth a little, but it doesn't stop it no matter reducing it," warned Professor John Edmunds of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.

“Assuming that Tier 3 contains reproduction number one, it means that locations in Tier 3 are not only very high in incidence, but will continue to have very high incidence for the foreseeable future. The rest of the country is now catching up. & # 39;

However, other scientists have insisted that the government should find a way to live with the virus instead – or the country could face "five to ten years" of temporary lockdowns.

Health Department data shows that only half of Liverpool's local authorities saw a decrease in infections in the first week of strict restrictions.

And in Lancashire, the number of cases in the region continued to rise, despite the toughest curbs holding back peak infections.

It comes after Public Health England's weekly surveillance report found that for the week ended October 24th, 130 out of 150 local authorities in England were still experiencing Covid-19 outbreaks.

No local authority has rates below 20 cases per 100,000 – as seen in mid-August – and the level at which the government is considering curbing entry into other countries.

Data from the Office of National Statistics (ONS) estimated that nearly 52,000 people contracted the virus every day, and one in 100 people in the country was infected with Covid-19 a week ago

Separate data from King & # 39; s College London predicted that around 32,000 cases occur daily in England and that infections are "steadily increasing" and "not getting out of hand".

Separate data from King & # 39; s College London predicted that around 32,000 cases occur daily in England and that infections are "steadily" increasing and "not getting out of hand".

Professor John Edmunds of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine warned that the government's animal system had failed

Liverpool University professor Calum Semple said the system did not prevent the UK outbreak from spreading

Professor John Edmunds of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine warned that the government's animal system had failed. Liverpool University professor Calum Semple said the system did not prevent the UK outbreak from spreading

THREE IN FOUR COUNTERS OF FEAR MORE THAN VIRUS

Almost three in four Britons are more concerned about the effects of lockdown restrictions than they are about catching the virus, a poll said.

Young people are most concerned about the mental health effects, while a third of retirees are concerned about the suspension of cancer screening.

The results come from a survey by the Restoration Group, which campaigns against excessive Covid restrictions.

Its co-founder Jon Dobinson said, "This poll shows that more and more people share our concerns about the terrible harm locks, fears and limitations."

Respondents asked 2,000 adults to rate their top concerns during the pandemic. Catching Covid was the top concern for 29 percent, followed by 23 percent mental health and 21 percent exposure to cancer screening. Eleven percent were most concerned about the employment outlook and ten percent about the impact on children.

Mental health was the top concern for 18-34 year olds and Londoners were most concerned about losing their jobs.

Professor Edmunds told BBC Radio 4's Today program that a second national lockdown could save Christmas.

"I think the idea of ​​a lockdown is primarily to save lives," he said, "and the only real way to relatively save Christmas is to get the incidence rate right down."

“Otherwise, I think Christmas is very difficult for people and no one wants a disturbed Christmas vacation time where you can't see your family and so on.

"I think the only way that can be safely achieved is to reduce the incidence rate immediately. To do that we need to take immediate action, and unfortunately those measures must be strict."

He added that the UK has been above SAGE's reasonable worst-case scenario for some time and is likely to suffer more than 85,000 deaths from the virus.

"If you look at all the numbers together, the direction is very serious," he said.

“Hospital stays are increasing rapidly, cases are increasing rapidly. In fact, today we are almost certain to confirm our millionth coronavirus case.

“I think it's really unthinkable now that we don't count our deaths in the tens of thousands this way. The problem is that there will be low tens of thousands if we take radical action now, or there will be high tens of thousands if we don't. & # 39;

Professor Calum Semple, an epidemiologist from the University of Liverpool, warned today that the numbers show that a "second wave" is entering Britain.

"It's growing a little slower than the spring, but it's really moving like a supertanker now," he told BBC Radio 4's Today program.

“We have included a lot more cases in the system, especially among younger women between the ages of 20 and 40. We see three to four times as many women between the ages of 20 and 40 who come to the hospital as men.

“That's because they're exposed in retail, hospitality, and some educational institutions. For the naysayers who don't believe in a second wave, there is a second wave, and unlike the first wave where we had a national lockdown that protected huge sections of society, there is now turmoil in all ages. & # 39;

Percentage change in coronavirus cases across England for the week ended October 25: The five local authorities that have seen the highest increase in infection rates are: Kingston upon Hull City, 92.81 percent; Derby, 91.84 percent; North Somerset, 82.99 percent; Medway, 77.17 percent; and Bath and North East Somerset 69.72 percent

Percentage change in coronavirus cases across England for the week ended October 25: The five local authorities that have seen the highest increase in infection rates are: Kingston upon Hull City, 92.81 percent; Derby, 91.84 percent; North Somerset, 82.99 percent; Medway, 77.17 percent; and Bath and North East Somerset 69.72 percent

He added that the animal system did not stop the virus from spreading, saying it only caused it to "not accelerate quite as quickly".

& # 39; The R number is still above one so the cases are still increasing, it's just that they are increasing a little more slowly. Even if we hit a level three restriction, we will plateau in a bad place, so there is advice on national lockdown. & # 39;

However, Oxford University professor Sunetra Gupta said the government should look to alternative measures to avoid getting caught up in a lockdown cycle for different periods of time over the next few years.

"Infections are now increasing because some areas don't have the immunity we would have expected if we hadn't been completely locked down," she said.

Oxford University Professor Sunetra Gupta has called for a second lockdown to be avoided

Oxford University Professor Sunetra Gupta has called for a second lockdown to be avoided

She said the government's plan suggests "what we're seeing is continued bans for five to ten years – some people predict".

She is one of the leading scholars behind the Barrington Declaration, which urges governments to consider other means besides destructive lockdowns to combat the current pandemic.

They propose to split the population, with young people allowed to carry on as usual, while older and more vulnerable people need protection.

The Daily Mail exclusively revealed last night that ministers are considering putting Britain in a second national lockdown as early as Wednesday next week through December 1 to save Christmas.

A cabinet source told the Mail about the dramatic shift to blanket restrictions. Mr Johnson is expected to make the announcement on Monday, with restrictions starting on Wednesday.

But the prime minister opened an investigation this morning into how the news leaked.

Mr Johnson and Rishi Sunak have tormented the decision for weeks because they feared it could cause permanent and permanent damage to the economy.

Chris Snowdon of the Institute of Economic Affairs told MailOnline that SAGE scientists could not lose if they call for a national lockdown.

"If it were up to SAGE, we would still be in the first," he said. “You've been calling for a second since we left the first one. In their view, they can't really lose if they call them. But lockdown is not a viable solution. & # 39;

He warned it would effectively double the damage to begin with and, in some ways, worse because you already have businesses hanging by a thread.

(tagsToTranslate) Dailymail (t) Nachrichten (t) SAGE (t) Coronavirus (t) Coronavirus Lockdowns (t) London