Pubs, bars and restaurants were responsible for less than three percent of all Covid-19 infections in the week the curfew was announced, according to official statistics.
The country's struggling hospitality sector saw only 22 outbreaks of respiratory infections – including Covid-19. This is a decrease of 12 from the total recorded September 14-20, according to national surveillance reports from Public Health England.
They lagged far behind schools and colleges, which accounted for nearly half of the country's outbreaks, at 341, or 44 percent of the total (772). Nursing homes recorded 25 percent of weekly outbreaks, a total of 195, followed by offices and factories, where 16 percent, a total of 124, occurred.
The blatant numbers stem from mounting concerns that pub closings at 10 p.m. could lead to a spike in infections as drunk night owls were pushed onto public transportation with little regard for social distancing this weekend.
In Piccadilly Circus, Leeds, Liverpool and Manchester in London, drinkers were celebrated in the streets after being evicted from venues that pulled down the shutters.
Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham has warned that the draconian restriction "does more harm than good" for the government, forcing crowds into supermarkets to buy alcohol to drink on the side of the road or in their homes.
And landlords have also warned the measures could mean a “death sentence” on barely “on the water” companies after losing months of trade during the UK's blanket lockdown.
Public Health England showed that most outbreaks of coughs and chest infections – some of which were likely Covid-19 – occurred in schools and nursing homes in the week leading up to September 20. Only three percent were reported from bars and restaurants
The country's struggling hospitality sector saw just 22 outbreaks of respiratory infections – including Covid-19, a 12 decrease from September 14-20 (Image: Pubgoers in London's Borough Market last week).
Respiratory diseases are all conditions that affect the respiratory system, including the coronavirus. An increase in rhinovirus infections in recent weeks causing runny nose could explain the increasing number of outbreaks in schools
Acute outbreaks of respiratory infections – when two or more people have the same coughing fit – were eight times more common in the second week of September than in the first in England's schools (23-193).
Not all outbreaks will be Covid-19 – they are chest infections in general – but some are.
The high levels of outbreaks in schools may be due to a resurgence of the rhinovirus, which causes runny noses, according to data from Public Health England.
NUMBER 10 & # 39; S 10PM CURFEW IS referred to as "SICK EXPERIMENTAL" by TORY MPS
Boris Johnson's 10 p.m. coronavirus curfew was classified by his own MPs as a "sick experiment for a second wave" – when the mayor of one of the UK's largest cities warned that it would "do more harm than good".
Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham said the government drinking period is pushing crowds into supermarkets to buy alcohol to drink by the roadside or in private homes.
It came when dozens of drinkers were spotted on Saturday night in trendy Moseley, Birmingham, turning to a marching band despite restrictions imposing social distancing.
The prime minister's curfew, which he announced last week, has largely been postponed due to these foreseeable consequences.
A Tory MP wrote to Politico, “What clown-faced idiot thought it would be a good idea to throw thousands of p ***** people out of pubs onto the street and into the subway at the same time?
"It's like a sick experiment to see if you can incubate a second wave."
The graph shows a significant increase in this virus as children mingle in schools after months at home.
The dates are likely to put more pressure on the government to end the 10pm curfew, which has been accused of being "dangerous" and "creating an incentive for people to gather on the streets".
Former Labor leadership contender, Mr Burnham, said: “I received reports that supermarkets were full to the rafters and crowds of people gathered after 10pm.
“I think there is an urgent need to review emerging evidence from police forces across the country. My gut feeling is that this curfew does more harm than good.
“It may be contradicting itself because it creates an incentive for people to gather in the street, or rather at home. This is the opposite of what our local restrictions are trying to do.
"I don't think this has been properly thought through, to be honest, and of course it harms bars and restaurants too."
His words were repeated by Liverpool Mayor Joe Anderson. The city has had its average number of daily cases nearly tripled in two weeks, putting it on the government's lockdown watchlist.
Taking the government's blanket approach, he said, "No off-licenses and supermarkets are allowed to be open to sell beer until midnight, and pubs can empty at 10 p.m. when people go off-licenses, beer buy or drink on the street in large groups or go into houses and drink in large groups. It will only spread the virus.
“The current situation makes things more dangerous, not better.
"I think it's silly to close restaurants at 10pm," he said, adding that midnight is "more responsible" and that pub closings should be staggered.
An angry Conservative MP also expressed concern about the measures, telling Politico, “What clown-faced idiot thought it was a good idea to throw thousands of people out of pubs onto the street and onto the subway at the same time?
"It's like some kind of sick experiment to see if you can incubate a second wave."
Pictures showed thousands of night owls crowding England's streets and public transport this weekend after the 10 p.m. curfew came.
Data from NHS Test and Trace shows that between September 21-27, the most common place of transmission was reported as being at home or visiting another household.
The data also showed that coronavirus sufferers were most likely to say they would eat out or shop before symptoms appeared, followed by a vacation, or alone or with family.
Scientists are spread out over the 10pm deadline, which "does not appear to be based on evidence" but suggests that a compromise has been struck between economic damage and a desire to contain the spread of viruses.
Drinkers on the street in London after being kicked out of pubs due to curfew
Professor Mark Woolhouse, a member of the Pandemic Influenza Scientific Group on Modeling (SPI-M), said there was no scientific basis for the deadline.
Are CURFEWS slowing the spread of COVID-19?
When Thailand imposed a curfew from 10 p.m. to 4 a.m. on April 3, it counted just over 100 cases of coronavirus a day. By the time the curfew was lifted on June 15, that number had fallen to the low tens.
Although the country's success can be attributed to the curfew, some scholars deny it on the grounds that the lockdown and other social measures in place at the time had a greater impact.
Britain hopes its curfew can help reflect the success of the Southeast Asian nation.
Linda Bauld, professor of public health at the University of Edinburgh, said HuffPost curfews are used because "we know night economy is generally risky".
"There have been outbreaks related to nightclubs, bars and restaurants," she said. "We've known that for months."
"The longer people are in these places, the more likely they are to leave their vigilance behind and the mix of social distancing and alcohol is not a good one despite the best efforts of customs officers and venue owners."
Behavioral expert Professor Susan Michie, a member of the Scientific Advisory Group on Emergencies (SAGE), said the time at 10 p.m. was chosen to balance the needs of the night economy with the need for virus control.
Speaking on the Andrew Marr Show, he admitted that he was not aware of any modeling to assess its impact, but said it did not offer the kind of granularity needed to study its potential impact.
"So these kinds of things have to be judgment decisions based on public health rather than modeling," he said.
“There is no proven scientific basis for this. Since this is a new challenge, we need to use interventions that we have never tried before. All of these were ad hoc interventions that we learn over time. & # 39;
Professor Sunetra Gupta, a leading theoretical epidemiologist at Oxford University, has urged ministers to take an "age-stratified" approach to tackling the pandemic, using targeted measures to protect the vulnerable and the elderly.
She told Sky News yesterday, "I think an efficient system would be to protect the vulnerable and find a way that people in nursing homes cannot be affected."
The professor was among 30 scientists who urged the government to consider a more focused approach to controlling the outbreak, rather than blanket restrictions.
In a letter to the British Medical Journal, they argued that interventions should be focused on these groups as 89 percent of Covid-19 deaths occurred in those over 65 and also focused on people with pre-existing medical conditions.
"This wide variation in risk by age and state of health suggests that the harm caused by consistent guidelines (which apply to everyone) outweighs the benefits," they say.
Industry associations have warned the curfew will lead to illegal raves and house parties as drinkers are forced out of licensed venues.
The UK hospitality group summed this up as "another major blow" to the sector, while the pubs campaign called for further financial support.
Greg Mulholland, the group's campaign manager, said, "The way it is, most pubs have only just gotten back on their feet and many have not yet traded profitably and this latest news will make it impossible for some customs officers to continue."
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