The Covid-19 disaster creates "ghost towns" across the UK and threatens to shed more than a million jobs, experts warned last night.
A record of 11,120 known retail stores and around 125,000 stores were lost after the initial lockdown triggered a move off the main streets.
However, this is only the tip of the iceberg as there are fears that job losses in shops, pubs and restaurants could increase if new lockdowns are introduced this winter.
London, Essex and York entered the second tier over the weekend, connecting areas like Birmingham and Manchester, while Liverpool and Lancashire are already in the strictest third tier.
The Covid-19 disaster creates "ghost towns" across the UK and threatens to shed more than a million jobs, experts warned last night
Hospitality leaders say that up to 750,000 jobs could be created in their sector alone by early next year – and a total of 255,000 retail jobs could be lost by the end of 2020.
Kay Neufeld from the Center for Economic and Corporate Research said it was "plausible" that more than a million jobs could be lost in retail and hospitality alone.
The Social Market Foundation, an independent think tank, said, "Lower demand for office space and a seemingly inevitable decline in traditional retailing risk the creation of ghost towns and city centers."
In other developments:
- The UK recorded another 16,982 Covid-19 cases, 32 percent more than a week earlier – and another 67 deaths.
- Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham last night considered a tens of millions of pound No. 10 offer to help businesses if the region agrees to put the third stage lockdown.
- Government scientific adviser Sir Jeremy Farrar warned that Christmas this year will be "tough" as a coronavirus vaccine may be six months away.
- Michael Gove yesterday defended the police who obtained personal information through NHS Test and Trace in a furious series of privacy regulations.
- Tony Blair has been accused of violating the UK's 14-day quarantine rules after returning from a trip to the US.
- Wales could face a 17-day breaker lockout under plans to be announced today.
Janet Watson, a landlady with the Tillotsons Arms in Chipping, Preston, says she is financially at "breaking point" and warns of new restrictions being placed on the area "will push us over the edge."
The UK Chambers of Commerce warn of "hundreds of thousands of job losses" as the vacation program closes, which is currently helping more than two million workers this month.
According to the British Beer and Pub Association, more than one in four of the UK's 39,700 pubs may not survive the pandemic.
Greene King plans to close 79 pubs, putting 800 jobs at risk, while Young & # 39; s, Wetherspoons, Fuller & # 39; s and City Pub Company have announced plans to cut hundreds of employees.
Greene King's Nick Mackenzie said, "Pubs are becoming increasingly unprofitable." reduce the beer requirement. & # 39;
Pub and restaurant operator Mitchells & Butlers, which owns Harvester and All Bar One, said the industry is facing "exceptionally challenging and uncertain circumstances."
They added, "We urge the government to increase the level of support it offers to an industry that has repeatedly singled out and taken on the full burden of restrictions."
The government said it has already provided £ 200 billion in assistance to help businesses weather the crisis.
A spokesperson said, “We know this continues to be a very difficult time for businesses. That is why we have set up an extensive support package. "
"These restrictions are a death sentence": hospitality owners who earn just £ 20 a night say new restrictions will "destroy" their livelihoods
New rules killed us
Moving to Tier 2 was a death sentence for a bar in the north after costing just £ 20 on Saturday night.
Edge Venue owners Mark and Amy Hanson said they only had two customers all evening – and Saturday is the only day they say is worth opening anyway.
Ms. Hanson posted a video of the abandoned venue in Stockton-On-Tees, County Durham, saying, “Two very nice customers showed up a while ago trying desperately to drink so we can pay bills … For all of these People who think Tier Two is a great thing or a wonderful idea, I know that I'm not the only one who actually thinks it's a death sentence. & # 39;
The couple operated as a venue through March but reopened as a bar last month to help survive the pandemic. Mr Hanson said the first three weeks "did the job" and kept her afloat, but after the new rules were put in place this week, "it just killed us again".
Edge Venue owners Mark and Amy Hanson said they only had two customers all evening – and Saturday is the only day they say is worth opening anyway
We are at the breaking point
It has been the center of village life for generations – but with Lancashire subject to the strictest lockdown restrictions, the future looks bleak for the Tillotsons Arms in Chipping, Preston. "I am absolutely devastated," said the landlady Janet Watson. "It's a complete shock – I didn't expect us to get into Tier Three anytime soon."
While serving food, the pub may no longer be viable due to its remote location in a community of just 1,000 people. "We're a small village in the middle of nowhere," said Ms. Watson.
Not only does Ms. Watson support greater support for hospitality workers who are losing their jobs, but she believes more should be done to help businesses like hers. She added, "We are already breaking with the restrictions as they are, but that will push us over the edge … If we have to close, it will tear the heart out of the village."
Ridiculous and frustrating
Andy Jones, owner of Jones and Sons in Dalston, north London, said 540 people who had been booked on Saturday canceled
The owner of a restaurant said his sales fell 40 percent on Saturday due to new lockdown rules in the capital.
Andy Jones, owner of Jones and Sons in Dalston, north London, said 540 people booked that day had canceled.
The restaurant usually seats 400 people in two sessions, but the vast majority of tables are indoors so only household groups are allowed.
Mr Jones said the lost bookings which included brunch and dinner during the day were around £ 25,000 in revenue. "It's ridiculous … that's the worst hospitality score," he said.
"Couples who do not live together are not allowed to go out, colleagues are not allowed to go for a drink together after work." This economy in London is huge. “Mr Jones said he has lost more than £ 600,000 in sales this year due to Covid restrictions but still has an annual rental bill of £ 110,000 to pay.
He added, "It's very, very frustrating to see eight years of my life potentially going down the drain because no one is standing up for the industry."
Half-term vacation canceled due to curfew
Thousands of halftime holidays have been canceled due to uncertainty about virus restrictions.
Research by VisitBritain in early October showed that 10 percent of people were planning an overnight trip.
Half of respondents blamed Covid restrictions for not feeling safe enough to travel, and a similar proportion cited concerns about contracting the virus.
Tourism bosses say the situation is getting worse now that parts of the UK are under level 2 or 3 restrictions.
Rob Paterson of the Best Western hotel chain said bookings were down 70 percent in the north and Scotland and 65 percent in London compared to last year.
The idea of a circuit breaker is crude, lazy and contrary to common sense, writes former Lib Dem guide VINCE CABLE
ByVince cables for the daily mail
Until last week I thought Sir Keir Starmer was doing a great job pulling Labor out of the swamp Jeremy Corbyn dumped him in.
But I'm afraid he'll regret his recent call for a new national lockdown.
However, the opposition has much to criticize in the shambolic handling of the pandemic by the government and in the contradicting messages from the ministers.
The side of academics calling for a full national lockdown when the government ignored their advice appeared to be an open target for the Labor leader.
The collateral health and economic damage would be simply devastating. First off, it's rude and lazy to close pubs in Penzance and restaurants in Richmond due to family transfers in Liverpool and Manchester. A man can be seen above in Manchester wearing a face mask
But a “breaker” that would restrict most of the country back to our homes, a measure the Prime Minister does not have to rule out yet, would defy common sense.
The collateral damage to health and the economy would be just devastating.
First off, it is rude and lazy to close pubs in Penzance and restaurants in Richmond because of the family transfer in Liverpool and Manchester. The operation is best performed with a scalpel, rather than an ax.
Countries like Germany have shown the way by isolating emerging clusters of infections. Japan's population is almost twice that of the UK, and people live closer together and are even older – a known risk factor for Covid-19.
Until last week I thought Sir Keir Starmer was doing a great job pulling Labor out of the swamp Jeremy Corbyn dumped him in. But I'm afraid he will regret his recent call for a new national lockdown, writes Vince Cable (pictured)
Still, Japan has only suffered 1,600 deaths from the virus, compared to the UK's 43,000.
These other countries have strict track and trace systems, but our system has been a pathetic mistake that has cost taxpayers up to £ 12 billion.
I would forego the services of the unfortunate Dido Harding who oversaw this disaster. Instead, the Prime Minister should bring in someone with a military background who is familiar with managing complex systems on tight schedules.
If we don't solve this problem, infections will spike every few months, leading to gradual lockdowns, causing immense economic and social damage.
The government must also broaden the range of its scientific advice. The Sage Committee has over 50 members, some of whom are of great importance.
But I don't see any of them speaking out on behalf of the family doctors and hospital advisors who are experiencing an alarming escalation in cancer and heart disease as people delay seeking treatment and redirecting NHS resources to deal with the pandemic .
The mail highlighted the neglect of these deaths (and why has no one followed the Royal College of Surgeons' call to separate Covid and non-Covid hospitals)?
There is also no strong voice on the Committee of Wise Men who advocate for mental health.
This is unforgivable given the growing numbers of depression, addiction and suicide known to result from incarceration and isolation as a result of action against the virus.
The International Monetary Fund has advised that countries like the UK, which can borrow freely at negligible interest rates, shouldn't be afraid of debt but rather keep their economies going
After all, it is high time ministers paid more attention to economists who calculate the trade-offs between life and livelihood.
Part of the NHS, Nice, is assessing whether to pay for life-extending medication by coldly calculating the number of years of human life saved by these treatments relative to their cost.
I find it bizarre that the NHS health department doesn't seem to be able to make such assessments. The responsibility to work for the economy rests with Rishi Sunak.
The Chancellor has had a good Covid war so far. But the hero of the Spring Offensive is in danger of becoming the zero of the autumn retreat.
His panicked officials have told him to stop spending so much money to save the regions and sectors that have been damaged by action against the pandemic.
As a result, Mr. Sunak cannot give workers and businesses in the north the support they need to help offset a growing economic depression.
The staff are closing their bar in Liverpool for the night. A “breaker” that would restrict most of the country back to our homes, a measure the Prime Minister does not yet have to rule out, would defy common sense
Andy Burnham, the Mayor of Manchester, and Steve Rotheram, his counterpart in Liverpool, are rightly angry about the lack of support in their regions.
But instead of just asking for more help, they are irrationally demanding that the rest of the country suffer for the way they are.
The International Monetary Fund has advised that countries like the UK that can borrow freely at negligible interest rates shouldn't be afraid of debt, but rather keep their economies going. The debt can be repaid in the coming decades.
Back in 1992, Bill Clinton was launched under the unofficial motto "It's the economy, stupid!" Elected as US President.
It is high time that Boris Johnson heeded this sentence – and avoided the dangerous urge for further bans at all costs.
Sir Vince Cable was Secretary of State for Economics from 2010 to 2015 and is now visiting professor at the London School of Economics
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