According to official figures, Manchester is now England's capital, Covid-19, with a higher infection rate than any other agency in England.
In the week leading up to October 1, a total of 2,740 positive coronavirus tests were recorded across the city – that's 495.6 cases per 100,000 people, or one in 200 people. For comparison, the infection rate was 223.2 the week before, according to an analysis by the Press Association with updated figures.
In Manchester, Newcastle and Liverpool, among others, the infection rate rose overnight after 16,000 nationwide cases were added to the government dashboard that were overlooked due to a "technical defect".
The extraordinary collapse, dubbed "Shambolic" by Labor, prevented the outbreak from being closely followed across the UK. Because of the bug, NHS contact tracers have not been able to track thousands of close contacts from Covid-19 patients who may have unknowingly caught the virus.
Public Health England's last weekly update on Friday, based on data slightly older than the PA analysis, shows that only nine out of 149 local authorities in England saw their infection rates decline last week. However, due to the computational flaw of PHE, infection rates may be higher in reality.
In Camden, London, cases fell the most in the week leading up to October 2. The infection rate – how many cases per 100,000 people there are per week – fell by 70 percent from 63 to 100,000 people to 18.7. It now has the lowest infection rate of any of London's 32 boroughs, according to PHE's surveillance report, which takes into account the positive tests recorded between September 21 and 27. The 16,0000 cases not counted by PHE occurred between September 25 and October 2.
Blackburn with Darwen, who is considered one of the coronavirus hotspots in England during the second wave of the pandemic, saw the infection rate drop by 20 percent in a week. In other restricted areas such as Blackpool, Bolton, Leicester and South Tyneside, infections were slowly falling.
In most of the Northern and Midlands' places with stricter Covid-19 restrictions, which are banned from seeing friends and family at home or in the pub, cases have not gone down in several weeks, meaning it has It is unlikely that they will be exempted from the harsher conditions anytime soon.
Leicester, the first place in England to undergo a "local lockdown" in late June, has never been able to return to normal like the rest of England, although the infection rate almost halved from 140 to 89. It even hit a low of 25 in early September.
It comes after ministers are asked to publish their criteria for deciding when an area has reached the lockdown threshold and when it can leave. Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham said lockdowns are like "Hotel California" because, like The Eagles' song, "Once inside, you can never leave."
Public Health England's latest weekly update on Friday shows that only nine out of 149 local authorities in England saw their infection rates decline last week. However, due to the computational flaw of PHE, infection rates may be higher in reality
Manchester is now the British capital Covid-19. One in 200 people is infected every day
The addition of nearly 16,000 cases that were previously unreported nationwide between September 25 and October 2 has resulted in weekly rates of new Covid-19 cases rising sharply in a number of areas.
According to the PA, Manchester is the highest weekly rate recorded in the pandemic at 495.6 cases per 100,000 population. However, due to a lack of tests in the spring, it is impossible to make an accurate comparison between now and then.
In other places in March and April it is likely to have been considerably higher. And the true rate for London, struck during the first wave of the disease, remains a mystery.
Liverpool currently has the second highest rate of 287.1 to 456.4 with 2,273 new cases. With 682 new cases, Knowsley ranks third from 300.3 to 452.1.
Infection rates increase after cases are reported
The weekly rate of new Covid-19 cases has risen in dozen of areas of England after adding nearly 16,000 cases that were not reported due to a technical error in an Excel spreadsheet.
Analysis by the PA News Agency shows the true infection rate for some of these areas.
Manchester now has the highest rate in England, with 2,740 cases recorded in the seven days leading up to October 1 – that's 495.6 cases per 100,000 population, up from 223.2 the previous week.
Liverpool has the second highest rate of 2,273 new cases from 287.1 to 456.4.
Knowsley in Merseyside ranks third from 300.3 to 452.1 with 682 new cases.
Analysis, based on Public Health England data released on Sunday evening, also shows sharp increases in Newcastle upon Tyne, Nottingham, Leeds and Sheffield. However, these numbers were not disclosed.
Other areas with strong growth are Newcastle upon Tyne (from 256.6 to 399.6 with 1,210 new cases); Nottingham (from 52.0 to 283.9 with 945 new cases); Leeds (from 138.8 to 274.5 with 2,177 new cases); and Sheffield (from 91.8 to 233.1 with 1,363 new cases).
The figures were compiled by the PA news agency and are dramatically higher than those indicated by PHE in its "Management Report" published every Friday.
The Friday October 2 report, based on positive testing between August 21 and September 27, found that Newcastle upon Tyne had the highest infection rate in the country at 250 cases per 100,000. Knowsley finished second (246.7), followed by Liverpool (239.3) and Manchester (200) – significantly lower than that reported today by PA using data in the week ended October 1st.
A "shambolic" technical issue meant the daily totals reported on the government's coronavirus dashboard for the past week were lower than the actual number.
For example, 4,786 cases that were supposed to be reported on October 2nd were not included in the daily total on the dashboard on that day when the number was reported as 6,968.
Dr. Duncan Robertson, a senior lecturer in management science and analytics at Loughborough University and a fellow of St Catherine & # 39; s College, Oxford, said the mistake was "an absolute scandal".
He tweeted, "These people did not identify their contacts and these contacts may have become contagious and spread the virus."
Paul Hunter, professor of health protection at the University of East Anglia, told BBC Radio 4's Today program, "If you want to do your contact tracing, there is a very short amount of time you can do it effectively."
Shadow Health Secretary Jonathan Ashworth said the bug was "shambolic" adding that "people across the country will understandably be alarmed".
PHE said that every single person initially tested had received their test result as usual, with any positive tests being asked to self-isolate.
In addition to underestimating the scale of the UK outbreak, the details were not critically shared with contact tracers, meaning people exposed to the virus were not tracked. It is not clear how this failure will play out, but it is feared that it will be very serious.
PHE officials said the open cases first confirmed on Saturday were referred to NHS Test and Trace "immediately" after the problem was resolved, and thanked contact tracers for their "extra efforts" over the weekend to clean up the backlog.
Daily totals rose over the weekend following the "glitch," leading officials to add thousands of cases that were missed last week. However, this only shows the dates on which the cases were reported, not when the positive tests took place
BORIS DENIES BUNGLING LOCKDOWNS
Boris Johnson today denied the coronavirus lockdown as he warned there is no guarantee the situation will improve by Christmas.
The prime minister admitted people were "angry" with him about the 10pm pubs curfew, the rule of six and the chaotic local curbs, but defended his handling of the crisis amid mounting unrest on his own benches.
At the start of the Tory virtual conference, Mr. Johnson urged the public to "be fearless but use common sense" to tackle the outbreak without destroying the economy.
He said he was working "at full speed" and hoped that "over the next few weeks and months the scientific equation will change" and that this would allow for a "different approach".
However, in an interview on the BBC's Andrew Marr show, he warned that the restrictions could drag on until 2021.
"I know people are angry and they are angry with me and angry with the government," said Mr Johnson.
“But you know, I have to tell you frankly that it will still be bumpy until Christmas, it can even be bumpy beyond that. However, this is the only way to do it.
He added, "This could be a very tough winter for all of us."
PHE publishes its "Situation Report" every Friday, which breaks down the infection rates in each agency in the country and focuses on additional restrictions or support.
It is not clear how exactly the most recent report for & # 39; week 39 & # 39; is affected by the failure to record cases.
The data showed that the average infection rate across England is 59 cases per 100,000 people, well above the 20 per 100,000 threshold the government uses to set quarantine rules for people returning from other countries.
For the week before, the average infection rate was 42 based on data up to September 20, which means it's up 40 percent in just seven days.
Currently, 48 local authorities out of 149 – almost a third – are above the average national infection rate. It is consistent with the fact that between a quarter and a third of Britons are currently in a "local lockdown".
Of all areas, only nine infection rates fell in the week leading up to October 2.
In order of percentage change, these were: Camden (70 percent), Blackburn with Darwen (19.2 percent), Bolton (10.3 percent), South Tyneside (6.7 percent), Leicester (6 percent), Central Bedfordshire (5.5 percent), North Somerset (2.4 percent), Blackpool (2.2 percent) and Suffolk (1.6 percent).
Every week, fewer local authorities are reporting an improvement in infection rates. Four weeks ago there were cases in 17 areas, and eight weeks ago there were 35.
The data shows that some places that have been locally locked for two weeks or more are still not seeing a slowdown in the coronavirus outbreak.
When restrictions were introduced on Greater Manchester in late July, there were between 100 and 150 new cases of Covid-19 each week. However, in the past few weeks that number has risen sharply.
Tameside, one of the 10 districts in which residents have been subject to stricter Covid-19 rules since July 31, has seen an increase in the infection rate from week to week since mid-July.
Oldham, Salford and Rochdale have been plagued by rising Covid-19 cases for several weeks, despite brief minor improvements made shortly after restrictions were put in place in late July.
The situation is not much different in the northeast. Aside from South Tyneside, infection rates continue to rise – although Covid-19 restrictions on household mixing were imposed on September 18.
One of the UK's long-running Covid-19 hotspots, Bolton, had 180 infections per 100,000 in the seven days to September 27, up from 14 per 100,000 on July 31 when a lockdown came in.
Gateshead, North Tyneside, County Durham and Newcastle are all on an uptrend with no signs of slowing falls. Pictured: Schwelger on Saturday night in Newcastle City
MINISTER PLANNING A TRAFFIC LIGHT blocking system
According to reports, ministers are planning tough new bans on "red alerts". A leaked document shows that all social contact outside of homes could be banned under the most extreme part of a proposed traffic light style system.
The new three-tier system plan includes a level three alert with severe new restrictions that run almost in parallel with the full lockdown measures that were imposed across the UK in March.
This includes closing all hospitality and recreational businesses and banning contact with anyone outside a person's household, regardless of the environment.
Non-professional sports are also being suspended – although places of worship are still allowed to remain open – unlike the original coronavirus lockdown when they had to close.
It comes from the fact that the UK recorded 23,000 new coronavirus infections on Sunday following a "technical glitch", meaning thousands of cases were not initially included in the official data.
The harsh new red measures, outlined in a leaked document by The Guardian, will be imposed either nationally or in a specific area only if the virus cannot be controlled by level 2 measures or if there is a significant increase in the level of the virus in an area Transfer recorded is & # 39 ;.
"Level Two Alert" measures, which are yellow on the traffic light system, include restricting social gatherings to people within a household and the support bubble while restricting travel to essential purposes.
Alert level 2 is triggered nationally or in a specific area if the infections have increased and local measures cannot control this.
In the meantime, Alert Level One, green, will encompass pre-existing measures such as the “Rule of Six”, hospitality curfew at 10pm and wearing face masks in public places like supermarkets and public transport.
According to the Guardian, a Whitehall source said the levels within the system were intended to be "minimum standards" and that specific local circumstances in each area were also taken into account.
Meanwhile, a government source told the paper that the plans were an "early draft" and were still being considered by ministers.
Gateshead, North Tyneside, County Durham and Newcastle are all on an uptrend with no signs of slowing falls. Hartlepool appears to be falling into the same pattern as of Saturday, given new measures.
Bolton, one of the UK's long-running Covid-19 hotspots, had 180 infections per 100,000 in the seven days to September 27, up from 14 per 100,000 on July 31 when a lockdown came in.
Ministers have established strict Covid-19 rules by claiming they are the only way to stop a second national wave of the disease, despite data suggesting they are not working.
Andy Burnham, the mayor of Greater Manchester, said zip code locks are the new Hotel California – once inside you can never leave.
"If we're fair, the restrictions initially had an impact," he told Sky & # 39; s Sophy Ridge. "You dampened cases and helped bring them down."
But effectiveness is limited the longer the lockdown lasts, he argued, and cases have increased since then.
& # 39; Local restrictions should go hand in hand with local control of test and trace. It still does not work. If it were under local control, at least our fate would be in our hands. We would have an incentive to get out of the restrictions. Right now we feel powerless. & # 39;
Yesterday, Northern Ireland Secretary Brandon Lewis defended the government's approach to local bans. But could only list Luton and Leicester as evidence of their work.
When asked if they were working, he said to Sophy Ridge on Sunday: “Indeed they are.
“First of all, the World Health Organization said the approach we are taking is strong and decisive.
“We saw areas like Luton and Leicester that were closed. We saw the benefit of that. Their number has decreased again. We were able to change the situation in these places.
“I accept that there are some parts of the country – where you just had Greater Manchester – where the numbers keep going up and we need to keep an eye on that.
"That's why it's so important that we all follow these guidelines and do the very simple things like wash our hands, keep our faces covered, and keep our space."
Prime Minister Boris Johnson explained last Wednesday why Luton is the only area of 48 cities that has successfully emerged from lockdown measures.
When asked by Labor Leader Keir Starmer why Luton was an anomaly, Mr Johnson said that "local people have been pulled together," suggesting that residents of other closed areas were not trying hard enough.
Although Luton was released from lockdown after a few days when cases began to decline, the city's infection rate has since risen again and is now above its original level, meaning the city of Bedfordshire could again be beaten with restrictions.
The Prime Minister showed the latest slides on the status of the coronavirus at press conference # 10 tonight
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