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Local lockdowns DO NOT work as data shows Covid-19 outbreaks at hotspots are still spiraling


Economically crippling local lockdowns cannot contain coronavirus outbreaks, the analysis shows.

More than 17 million Britons in 48 cities and counties currently live with even more restricted freedoms than the rest of the country.

Many have been banned from meeting friends or family indoors, and students in the locked areas are virtually confined to their dormitories.

The residents of these places have been told that the rules are essential for suppressing the virus. However, data shows that Luton is the only area that has successfully managed to clear cases to the point where the draconian rules can be overturned.

However, there are fears that the city of Bedfordshire could face renewed restrictions after cases increased fivefold over the past week, from 26 per 100,000 to 159 per 100,000.

Stockport and Wigan also managed to break free from the shackles of local lockdowns, but measures were reinstated on Friday after infections recovered.

The other 46 regions that are on lockdown are all seeing rising infections, according to the latest government data.

Bolton was named a UK Covid-19 hotspot this week after suffering more than 200 cases per 100,000 in the past week. Cases have more than tripled in the past three weeks, despite the city of Greater Manchester being locked in place earlier this month.

The data is worrying as it implies that the economically damaging and socially restrictive nationwide measures announced last week – including curfew "six" and 10 p.m. – do little to stop the spread of the coronavirus.

Bolton was named a UK Covid-19 hotspot this week after suffering more than 200 cases per 100,000 in the past week. Cases have more than tripled in the past three weeks despite the city of Greater Manchester being locked in place earlier this month

Leicester - the first UK company to be on-site locked in July - recorded 94 cases per 100,000 cases in the week ended September 25, up from 37 in the last seven days

Leicester – the first UK company to be on-site locked in July – recorded 94 cases per 100,000 cases in the week ended September 25, up from 37 in the last seven days

Salford saw infections rise 70 percent last week, with cases rising from 79 per 100,000 to 127

Salford saw infections increase by 70 percent last week, with cases rising from 79 per 100,000 to 127

Public Health England numbers show Luton has seen one of the largest increases in Covid-19 cases in the country this week.

In the city, which gradually eased its local lockdown last month, cases rose 505 percent between September 18 and 25.

There are now concerns, like Stockport and Wigan, that Luton could be pushed back into some form of lockdown.

Manchester mayor says 10 p.m. curfew does more harm than good.

Boris Johnson's 10 p.m. coronavirus curfew does more harm than good, the mayor, one of Britain's largest cities, warned this morning – when over the weekend scenes showed expelled drinkers dancing to a marching band on the street.

Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham said the government drinking period is pushing crowds into supermarkets to buy alcohol to drink by the roadside or in private homes.

He warned the curfew was an incentive to conduct behavior that was the opposite of what the measures were intended to achieve.

The former Labor leadership contender said, “I think there is an urgent need to review emerging evidence from police forces across the country. My gut feeling is that this curfew does more harm than good. & # 39;

It came when dozens of drinkers were spotted on Saturday night in trendy Moseley, Birmingham, turning to a marching band despite restrictions imposing social distancing.

The city is also currently subject to stricter lockdown rules than much of the UK. People are not allowed to mix with people they do not live with.

West Midlands Police were made aware of the potentially dangerous violation and spoke to people to tell them to go home.

The prime minister's curfew, which he announced last week, has largely been postponed due to these foreseeable consequences.

A Tory MP wrote to Politico, “What clown-faced idiot thought it would be a good idea to throw thousands of p ***** people out of pubs onto the street and into the subway at the same time?

"It's like a sick experiment to see if you can incubate a second wave."

Of the places still in localized shutdowns, Leicester saw the largest increase over the same period, with infections increasing 152 percent.

The city of 320,000 – which was the first on-site lockdown in the UK in July – recorded 94 cases per 100,000 in the week ending September 25, up from 37 in the last seven days.

In Bury, Greater Manchester, infections more than doubled from 75 per 100,000 to 157,000 over the same period.

Salford saw infections increase by 70 percent last week, with cases rising from 79 per 100,000 to 127.

Wirral and Rochdale saw a nearly identical increase of 59 percent from the previous week, suffering 121 and 124 cases per 100,000 on Sept. 25, respectively.

Meanwhile, Bolton, Blackburn and South Tyneside, all of which live with tighter restrictions than most in the UK, continue to have the worst case rates.

Bolton now tops the Covid-19 hotspot chart with 201 infections per 100,000 in the week ending September 25.

Greater Manchester Town is seconded from South Tyneside, for which measures were only introduced on September 17th. Since then, however, the cases have more than doubled from 74 per 100,000 to 178 per 100,000.

Blackburn, consistently among the top three Covid-19 infection rates in the country, suffered 167 cases per 100,000 last week.

Professor Hugh Pennington, Professor Emeritus of Bacteriology at the University of Aberdeen, told The Telegraph: “I have to agree that local action often has disappointing results. The same goes for Glasgow and the surrounding area.

“A national lockdown with the same control measures would most likely lead to the same bad result. In my view, all of this shows that a lot more community testing is needed to identify cases and that contact tracing is still not good enough.

Robert Dingwall, a professor of sociology at Nottingham Trent University, told the newspaper the numbers do not give him confidence that national measures will successfully contain the transmission of the virus.

He added, “Since March, we should have paid as much attention to evaluating social interventions as we are to evaluating therapies or vaccines. The alleged ban on house meetings has no better evidence than a desire to be seen to do something. & # 39;

Official data shows that local lockdowns appear to have short-term benefits that slowly wear off over time.

Leicester, for example, announced a local lockdown by the government on June 30th when there were 30 cases per 100,000 people per week – the highest in the country at the time.

Shops, restaurants and bars were banned from reopening as the rest of the country emerged from the national shutdown.

Cases had been cracked below 20 per 100,000 by the end of July, which slowly lifted restrictions in August.

However, by mid-September they had dropped to 90 per 100,000, prompting ministers to put even stricter measures in place to prevent people from mingling with people outside their own home.

In many areas in Greater Manchester, Lancashire and West Yorkshire that were affected by lockdown rules on July 31, restrictions were relaxed in early September, only to be reintroduced 16 days later.

In Salford, Tameside, Rochdale and the city of Manchester, restrictions haven't been eased since they were imposed in late July after numbers never fell.