Joe Biden visited his childhood home in Scranton, Pennsylvania, Tuesday morning, where he left a poignant message on the wall before being attacked by fans in the battlefield state after starting election day with mass and visiting his son Beau's grave in Delaware.
The Democratic candidate scrawled the message "from this house to the White House by the grace of God" along with his signature and the date of the 59th US presidential election on the living room wall at his youth home when he stopped in town just hours ago the end of the polls.
Biden was then bullied by a large crowd of supporters who had gathered outside for a demonstration of support – a far cry from the smaller turnouts at the socially distant rallies he held throughout the campaign season.
He then made his way to Philadelphia for his second stop in Pennsylvania on Tuesday. There he plays one final piece for the battlefield state, where pollsters and both parties believe the White House race could be won or lost.
In the last poll on election day, Biden (77) is just ahead of Trump (74) in Pennslyvania and five other swing states in Florida, Arizona, Michigan, North Carolina and Wisconsin.
In all six states, the average for Biden was 50 percent and for Trump 46 percent. In total, the six states account for 101 of the 270 electoral college votes required for victory.
Joe Biden was bullied by fans who gathered outside his parents' house on Tuesday to support the candidate
Biden visited his childhood home in Scranton, Pennsylvania on Tuesday morning, flanked by his grandchildren
The Democrat left a moving message on the wall of the living room of his children's home and read: "From this house to the White House with the grace of God"
Biden started election day Tuesday by attending morning mass and visiting his son Beau's grave in Delaware (pictured)
Biden's trip to Scranton came after he began Election Day by attending morning mass and visiting Beau's grave at St. Joseph On's Brandywine Catholic Church in Wilmington, Delaware with his wife Jill and teenage granddaughters Finnegan and Natalie would have.
Biden was seen walking into St. Joseph On the Brandywine Catholic Church in Wilmington with Jill, Finnegan and Natalie just after 7 a.m. Tuesday.
The family attended brief mass at their local church before visiting the grave of Biden's late son Beau, a war veteran and Attorney General of Delaware, who was buried there after his death in 2015 from brain cancer.
Biden's late first wife, Neilia, and young daughter, Naomi, who both died in a car accident in 1972, are also buried in the cemetery.
Biden and Finnegan crossed their arms and she eventually put her arm around her grandfather as they took a moment for his grave.
Finnegan's message to the American people was visible to all as she wore a face mask and black boots with the word "vote" on it.
This is the second time in three days that Biden has attended church after being seen attending a service on Sunday.
During that visit, he encountered a small group of protesters who stood up for life and called the presidential candidate about his stance on abortion and held banners that read "No Catholic Can Vote for Joe Biden" and "Joe Biden is synonymous with abortion Euthanasia and infanticide. & # 39;
The three protesters, two women and one man, were holding signs and shouting to Biden, who shouted, "Joe, you are a disgrace to the Catholic faith."
They also molested Biden's deceased son and sang: "Repent for your soul" and "Repent for Beau's soul".
Beau died of brain cancer in 2015 at the age of 46 and Biden often recognizes his courage in the fight against the disease and also during his service in Iraq as a major in the Delaware Army National Guard.
The former Vice President spoke of Beau during the first presidential debate in September when he criticized Trump for allegedly derogatory comments on American military personnel.
"The way you talk about the military, the way you talk about them being 'losers' and 'fools'," Biden said, referring to the bombing report in the Atlantic that Trump did Called US war dead "morons" and "losers".
& # 39; My son was in Iraq. He spent a year there. He spent a year there. He got the bronze star.
& # 39; He received the medal for noticeable service. He wasn't a loser. He was a patriot and the people who were left there were heroes, ”Biden said.
The Democratic presidential candidate was seen walking with his wife Jill and granddaughters Finnegan and Natalie just after 7 a.m. Tuesday morning at St. Joseph On the Brandywine Catholic Church in Wilmington
The family attended mass at their local church before visiting the grave of Biden's late son Beau (pictured), a veteran of the Iraq War and Attorney General of Delaware
Biden and Finnegan crossed their arms and she eventually put her arm around her grandfather as they took a moment for his grave
Finnegan's message to the American people was visible to all as she wore a face mask and black boots with the word "vote" on it
This is the second time in three days that Biden has attended church after being seen attending a service on Sunday
WHAT THE POLLS SAY:
The last poll on election day found that 77-year-old Biden was a narrow margin over Trump (74) in six swing states, including Florida, Arizona, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
In Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – all of which Trump won in 2016 – Biden was ahead of the game as of Monday night, the poll showed The race was still hotly contested and there was no result.
Wisconsin was the safest of the six countries. Biden led with 53 percent and Trump with 45 percent.
North Carolina was the closest of the six areas, with Biden gaining wafer-thin support of 49 percent and 47 percent from Trump.
In all six countries, the average for Biden was 50 percent and for Trump 46 percent.
Trump's home state of Florida was another incredibly close race. The poll found that Biden was at the top with 51 percent, while Trump had 48 percent of support.
Trump stepped in to bring the conversation to Biden's other son, Hunter.
& # 39; Really? Are you talking about Hunter? & # 39; he asked
“I'm talking about my son Beau Biden,” Biden replied, to which Trump said, “I don't know Beau. I know Hunter. & # 39;
Biden's visit to his son's grave on Tuesday morning ushered in election day for the Democratic hopeful who is currently leading Trump in the polls.
Biden left Delaware for his hometown of Scranton, Pennsylvania, before continuing to Philadelphia later.
He gave reporters a thumbs up when he boarded a flight in Delaware to go to Keystone State and took granddaughters Finnegan and Natalie with him.
“These are the only two of my grandchildren who have never been to Scranton. So we're going home, ”he told reporters.
Upon arriving in his hometown, Biden spoke to a local carpenters union and grabbed a megaphone to address about 50 people who were there.
"It's good to be home," he said. He then referred to getting a 5-0 unanimous vote in the tiny New Hampshire town of Dixville Notch, turning it into a confrontation with his rival.
"I'll declare victory tonight based on Trump's performance," he joked.
Biden then visited his childhood home and signed the living room wall with a historical message: "From this house to the White House, by the grace of God."
The message was posted on the same wall where he had previously posted another message alongside then-candidate Barack Obama during his 2008 tenure as Vice President.
At that time Biden wrote: "I'm at home."
He came out of the house to greet the crowd of devotees who had gathered outside and shouted, "It's good to be home!"
The crowd cheered and shouted, "We love you Joe!"
The resident and current owner of his children's home, Anne Kearns, spoke briefly to the Democrat outside and said, “I watch you all the time. I am so proud of you. & # 39;
Biden also visited the local Hank & # 39; s Hoagies sandwich shop and the home of the mother of the Democratic Senator from Pennsylvania, Bob Casey.
A person from a nearby house was taken to a nearby ambulance on a stretcher while they were outside.
Biden will then drive to Philadelphia for the second of two Pennsyvlania city stops before returning to Wilmington, where he and Vice Presidential candidate Kamala Harris will follow the results Tuesday night and make their election night remarks.
Harris spends the last day of the race in Detroit, a largely black city in the battlefield state of Michigan.
Biden takes a moment at his son's grave. Beau was buried there after his death in 2015 from a brain tumor
Biden's Tuesday morning visit begins just hours before the end of the election on election day for Democrats
Biden then went to his hometown of Scranton, Pennsylvania and will later go to Philadelphia
Trump also held one of his final campaign stops in Scranton on Monday.
Minutes before Biden's arrival in Scranton, Trump reiterated unsubstantiated claims that the Pennsylvania vote would be corrupted.
"Philadelphia is going to be a disaster," Trump said during an early morning hoarse call-in interview at Fox & Friends after attending nightly rallies.
Trump, who previously refused to say he will accept the election results, said he would "only declare victory if there is victory". According to reports, he could do so on Tuesday night even if votes are still in.
However, he also claimed he would win at least 306 electoral college votes and reiterated his request to know who will win on election night.
"So my last number was 306," he said of the votes he thinks he will deserve.
"I ended up with 306, which was good numbers – 223-306," he falsely said of the 2016 result against Hillary Clinton.
& # 39; And that was a large number. And I think we will top it. I'll leave it at that. I think we will top it. & # 39;
Clinton actually received 232, not 223, votes in 2016.
“I would like to find out who won the election by the end of the evening or late in the morning on November 3rd. And that doesn't allow that. Unless there's a blowout or you don't need Pennsylvania, ”Trump continued.
Trump was referring to a Supreme Court ruling that allowed the state to count postal ballot papers three days after election day.
Late on Monday, Trump said the Supreme Court decision would "trigger violence on the streets."
The extraordinary tweet, on which Twitter posted a warning sign, was prepared in the White House and Washington for a possible setback in the event of a controversial election.
& # 39; The Supreme Court decision on the Pennsylvania vote is VERY dangerous. It will allow rampant and uncontrolled cheating and undermine our entire legal system. It will also create violence on the streets, "Trump tweeted.
& # 39; Something has to be done! & # 39; he added without explanation.
The president has threatened to send his lawyers to prevent the counting of votes that arrive after election day.
Under state law, polling officers cannot begin counting postal votes until polling day.
He gave reporters a thumbs up when he boarded a flight in Delaware to fly to Keystone State
"We're going home," Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden told reporters as he drove to Scranton, Pennsylvania, on election day. Here he is speaking to followers
Both Biden and Donald Trump have viewed Pennsylvania as one of the most important swing states
Joe Biden arrives in his hometown of Scranton to make one final game for the Pennsylvania vote
Biden gets off the plane with granddaughters Finnegan and Natalie at Wilkes-Barre Scranton International Airport. He told reporters in Delaware they would "go home"
Biden speaks to supporters at a launch event at Local Carpenters Union 445 in Scranton
With state election officer Kathy Boockvar said there could be 10 times as many mail-in votes in 2020 as there were in 2016, processing and counting could take days.
Both Biden and Donald Trump have viewed Pennsylvania as one of the key swing states in the White House race.
Pennsylvania has a significant 20 electoral votes, meaning both Republicans and Democrats – as well as pollsters – believe that the state's outcome could determine the entire race.
There are growing concerns that Trump will declare victory in the state long before the votes are counted, or that he will try to stop the mail-in vote counting after election day.
It is believed that due to Trump's constant rhetoric that the process is "rigged", Democrats are more likely to vote by postal vote.
Trump won the state in 2016 by less than a point over Hillary Clinton. However, the latest polls show that Biden is around 5 points ahead.
Biden has campaigned more often in the state than any other battlefield state, and Trump has also focused heavily on gathering support in the state.
Nearly 100 million Americans across the country voted early, and now voters must quit on election day.
Biden stepped into Election Day with multiple avenues to victory, while Trump, who was catching up in a number of battlefield states, had a narrower but still feasible path to getting 270 votes for the electoral college.
Control of the Senate is also at stake: Democrats had to win three seats if Biden wanted to capture the White House and take control of all of Washington for the first time in a decade.
If Biden loses to Trump, the Democrats can still take control of the Senate if they take four Republican seats.
In the meantime, the house is expected to remain under democratic control.
Biden visited his childhood home in Scranton and signed the living room wall with a historical message: "From this house to the White House, by the grace of God"
The message was posted on the same wall that he had previously posted another message on, alongside then-candidate Barack Obama, during his 2008 tenure as Vice President. Back then, Biden wrote: "I'm at home"
He came out of the house to greet the crowd of devotees who had gathered outside and shouted, "It's good to be home!"
Biden and his family make their way through the crowd outside of his parents' home on election day in Scranton
Biden gives a thumbs up to the crowd of supporters wearing face masks cheering on the Democrats in front of his parents' house
Biden pokes a supporter as he leaves the local Hank & # 39; s Hoagies sandwich shop in Scranton
Biden speaks to supporters in Scranton as he makes one final game for the battlefield state Trump is also gathering today
Voters braved long lines and the threat of the virus to cast ballots as they voted between two completely different visions of America for the next four years.
The record-breaking early vote – and the legal battle over how to count it – led to unsupported fraud allegations by Trump, who refused to guarantee he would meet the election result.
Trump joined & # 39; Fox & Friends & # 39; on, where he predicted he would win with more freedom of choice than 2016.
It was the first in a series of media interviews on the last day of the race.
At about noon, he went to his campaign headquarters in Virginia and invited hundreds of supporters to an election night party in the east room of the White House.
Meanwhile, First Lady Melania Trump cast her vote in the Tuesday morning 2020 elections and reached a polling station in Trump's & # 39; home state of Florida, one of several major swing states.
The 50-year-old first lady smiled slightly at the camera when she arrived maskless to cast her vote.
On their last full day of the campaign on Monday, Trump and Biden broke down sharply over the mechanisms of the voting itself when they visited the hardest-fought battlefield, Pennsylvania.
The Republican president threatened legal action to block the counting of ballots received after election day. If the Pennsylvania ballot counting took several days, as permitted, Trump claimed without evidence that "fraud can happen like you've never seen it before".
In fact, there are around 20 states that allow postal ballot papers received after election day to be counted – up to nine days and longer in some states.
The litigation has focused on just a few cases where states have made changes, in large part due to the coronavirus.
Biden told Pennsylvania voters that the very fabric of the nation was at stake and offered a president who he said "spent four years dividing us every step of the way" his own choice as the firmest Reprimand.
A new day begins tomorrow. Tomorrow we can put an end to a president who left hardworking Americans in the cold! & # 39; Said Biden in Pittsburgh. "If you choose me as president, I will act to heal this country."
During a stopover in Wisconsin, Trump argued that Biden "is not what our country needs". He added, "It's not about – yes, it's about me I guess when you think about it."
The nation was preparing for what was to come – and a result that could not have been known for days.
A new anti-scale fence was built around the White House. And in city centers from New York to Denver to Minneapolis, workers have started businesses to keep the vote from sparking the kind of riot that erupted earlier this year in anti-racial protests.
Just a short walk from the White House, block by block, the windows and doors of the shops had been covered. Some only kept one door open, hoping to attract a small business.
Both candidates voted early, but First Lady Melania Trump was due to cast her vote on Tuesday near Mar-a-Lago, the couple's Palm Beach, Florida property.
The candidates flashed through battlefield states on Monday, and Biden also penetrated Ohio, a state once considered safe for Trump.
President Donald Trump said during a call-in interview with Fox & Friends Tuesday that he believes he will "beat" the 306 electoral college votes he won in 2016 to win again this year
Trump, who held 14 rallies in the three days leading up to election day, is dancing after a campaign rally in Grand Rapids, Michigan on Monday
Melania Trump arrived at a polling station in Palm Beach, Florida Tuesday morning to cast her vote in person
First Lady Melania Trump arrives to cast her vote at the polling station of the Morton and Barbara Mandel Recreation Center on election day
For his part, the president attended five rallies, with Air Force One sweeping the skies as it drew crowds in North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and then back to Michigan.
His final lasted after midnight in Grand Rapids, where he held his last rally in 2016.
It marked the end of an era in American politics determined in part by the massive and exuberant gatherings the president continued to hold despite warnings from his administration's own health experts to avoid crowds during the pandemic.
The next president will inherit a fearful nation afflicted by a once-a-century health crisis that has closed schools and businesses, and which deteriorates when the weather turns cold.
Trump in Grand Rapids again insisted that the nation "round off" the turn against the virus. But Dr. Deborah Birx, the White House's coronavirus task force coordinator, broke up with the president and joined a chorus of Trump administration scientists sounding the alarm over the current surge in infections.
"Wir treten in die besorgniserregendste und tödlichste Phase dieser Pandemie ein", schrieb Birx in einem Memo, das an hochrangige Verwaltungsbeamte verteilt wurde. Sie fügte hinzu, dass die Nation keine „ausgewogenen“ Maßnahmen ergriffen habe, um die Ausbreitung des Virus zu verlangsamen. Ein Empfänger bestätigte den Inhalt, der ursprünglich am Montag von der Washington Post gemeldet wurde.
Die Pandemie hat die Kampagne beschattet, die größtenteils ein Referendum über Trumps Umgang mit dem Virus war.
Die Herausforderung, eine rekordverdächtige vorzeitige Abstimmung zu zählen, führte zu einer gewissen Unsicherheit bei einer Wahl, die durch den Verdacht eines Amtsinhabers gekennzeichnet war, der in den Umfragen konsequent hinterherhinkt.
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Get ready for the most thrilling election in history: your hourly guide on what to expect when America chooses between Donald Trump and Joe Biden
2020 election night is unlike any American before – with the presidency in balance and a record number of votes counted in the teeth of the COVID pandemic.
Once the polls are complete, the potential for chaos and crisis will only begin. Here is DailyMail.com's hourly guide on what to look out for as the US decides whether and who to be Donald Trump or Joe Biden in the White House Senate controls.
All times are EST.
Initial polls in parts of Indiana and Kentucky will be closed.
All polls close in Georgia, South Carolina, Vermont and Virginia. The rest of the Indiana and Kentucky polls will be closed. Florida polls, except for those in the Panhandle, which is located in Central Time, are closing.
WHAT TO SEE
EXIT POLLS: Initial polls on the exit could be done in minutes – but in a pandemic year it's unclear how precise they will be, with at least 93 million voting ahead of time or by postal vote. A large turnout in Georgia could mean the lines are still outside the polling stations – an issue that weighed on them in the recent election.
All polls close in North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia
WHAT TO SEE
NORTH CAROLINA – TRUMP WON IN 2016
Initial results will be available within minutes – but they can be very small percentages of the total vote. North Carolina estimates that about 80 percent of its votes will be counted on election night, starting with the personal area code sums and the postal ballot papers received by November 2nd. In the hours following the polls, the state will personally report the votes votes on election day. The state allows postal ballot papers to be submitted until November 12th. If so, it may take several days for a final result to be announced.
Polls in North Carolina have repeatedly switched between Trump and Biden. Trump won the state in 2016. An Emerson poll that ended the poll on Oct. 30 shows the candidates are bound. The Real Clear Politics poll average has Trump a tiny 0.5 percent lead. The race in the Senate is just as closely fought. Republican Thom Tillis hopes to hold out, but Democrat Cal Cunningham rose 2.2% on the latest average, despite admitting sexting a woman who was not his wife.
Could it be the end: South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham finds himself in the battle of his political life with Jamie Harrison
SOUTH CAROLINA – REPUBLICANS DEFENDING A SENATE
Not in the game for the presidential election – but a highly competitive Senate race could end Republican Lindsey Graham's career and replace Democrat Jaime Harrison. Graham was three to six points ahead in the last three polls, but Harrison funded him tens of millions of dollars and there have been too few polls to make sure Graham is safe. The state says it will start reporting from about
EXIT POLLS: Polls for the swing states of North Carolina and Ohio are expected now. Biden's campaign believes Ohio can turn it around, even though it went 8.3% to Trump in 2016. His Republican governor predicts an extremely close Trump victory.
All polls close in Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Tennessee, and Washington, DC. Most polls close in Texas and Michigan. Central time polls close in Kansas, North and South Dakota. Remaining polls, in Central Time in the Panhandle, close in Florida.
WHAT TO SEE
Must Win: Barack Obama held a rally in Miami Monday night to support the state's Latino and black voters
FLORIDA – TRUMP WON 2016
The first official results are expected within minutes of Panhandle's surveys being completed – and give an indication of how the multi-year swing state has gone. Florida is used to processing large numbers of postal ballot papers. Early voting numbers are also posted quickly. These numbers are followed by a personal vote. But officials believe they will still count in the daylight on Wednesday.
Biden could have an early head start in this state and see it decrease as the night progresses. He's only one point ahead of the Real Clear Politics survey average in Trump's adopted country. A significant portion of Florida’s results should be reported by 8:30 p.m. – so the state will at least state whether one or the other candidate can expect a blowout
OHIO – TRUMP WON 2016
The first results could already be announced at 8 p.m. Districts must announce the results of all postal ballot papers received by election day and any early votes. You can then start counting the ballots cast on election day and these will be updated overnight. The number of pending postal ballots is reported on election night, which means the number of crunchers can determine if there are enough pending ballots to influence the president's race. Ballot papers postmarked November 2nd can be counted until November 13th – a clear result can therefore take more than a week
Recent Ohio polls gave Trump a small edge in the state he won against Clinton in 2016, which President Barack Obama and Vice President Biden conducted in 2008 and 2012. The survey average by Real Clear Politics shows Trump 1.4 points ahead.
OTHER: The Associated Press, Reuters, and TV networks are likely to release a rapid-fire statement of the likely winners in a number of states shortly after 8 p.m. – but it's likely just already considered to be certain Republican or Democratic.
Arkansas polls close
All polls close in Arizona, Colorado, Louisiana, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Mexico, New York, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. Remaining polls close in Kansas, Michigan, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Texas
WHAT TO SEE
In Trouble: Kelly Loeffler was called to the Senate to fill Republican Johnny Isakson's seat, but the best she can hope for in the recent polls is a runoff in January
GEORGIA – WON TRUMP IN 2016, REPUBLICANS DEFENDING TWO SENATE SEATS
It is expected that Georgia will take around two hours to start reporting on the results. The state was allowed to begin processing postal ballot papers on October 19. After legal challenges, postal ballot papers had to be returned at the time the surveys were completed – not just by post. The only exception are Georgian voters living abroad.
Polls show an extremely close race with Trump by 0.2 percent in the survey average of Real Clear Politics. At the height of Biden's support in mid-October, he was only two points clear.
But there are two other races that could shape the Senate. Republican Kelly Loeffler is running for the seat she was named in a three-way battle: She faces Republican Dan Collins and Democrat Rev. Raphael Warnock. Warnock will need 50% for an overall win or the race will go to the top 2 runoff. According to surveys, it was between 34 and 46 percent, which is not enough for a knockout, while it is unclear who is in second place between Collins and Loeffler.
Unusually, the other Senate seat is also involved, with Republican David Perdue running for another term and could have problems with Democrat Jon Ossoff, who has risen an average of 0.7% in a formerly safe Republican state. Both Republican incumbents have been looking into potential insider trading – which they have been exempted from – but realistically, both races will likely turn into a January runoff that could determine who controls the Senate.
TEXAS – TRUMP WON IN 2016, REPUBLICANS DEFENDING A SENATE SEAT
It is possible that the query from Texas gave an indication of the race there as it will be completely closed. But what happens next is unknown. Texas allowed mail-in votes to be counted prior to election day, so the Lone Star state expects to hear these results and vote in person on election night. Postal ballot papers have until November 4th at 5 p.m. So if the state is very close, there could be waiting times in the end. The way the results are reported could show a Biden and then a Trump swing – with a boost for Biden at the end of the remaining mail-in ballots.
The Real Clear Politics survey average gives Trump an advantage of 1.2 points in the historically red state. Two polls – an Emerson and a Quinnipiac poll – from October showed the candidates were bound. For most of the race, however, Trump was firmer up front, and a poll here and there showed the state is going blue. Officials expect a quick count and results. In 2016, the winner was announced shortly after midnight – Trump won the state by nine points. A close race, however, will slow the Associated Press, Reuters, and television networks' ability to call the race.
In the Senate, John Cornyn seeks a fourth term as a Republican. He votes ahead of Trump and averages 6.8% above Democratic challenger M.J. Hegar. If Cornyn lost it would be a sign that Texas is officially a purple state.
OTHER: Safe states, including New York, are likely to get quick calls from 9:00 p.m. to 10:00 p.m. Biden's numbers are set to rise more than Trump's at this point, thanks to 29 voters in New York and 20 in Illinois. Shortly after 9 p.m., both election campaigns will likely have more than 100 electoral college votes in their column.
Polls close in Iowa, Montana, Nevada, and Utah. Mountain time polls are closing in Idaho and Oregon.
WHAT TO SEE
Campaign: Gabrielle Giffords speaks for her husband Mark Kelly, who beats Republican-appointed Senator Martha McSally in Arizona polls
ARIZONA – TRUMP WON IN 2016, REPUBLICANS DEFENDING A SENATE SEAT
The state expects the district's first registration numbers to be around 10 p.m. Early and postal ballot papers submitted over the weekend have been pre-counted and these results will be announced quickly. The ballot papers submitted on election day are also expected to take place on Tuesday evening – historically the state counts quickly. However, it can take several days for the last minute postal vote to be tabulated, with Thursday or Friday being considered realistic. Biden has been a few points ahead of Trump in Arizona for months, but a Trafalgar Group poll and a Rasmussen poll showed Trump 3 and 4 points in late October, possibly suggesting a narrowing of the race. The Real Clear Politics survey average has Biden 1 point ahead.
The Senate seat to which Martha McSally was appointed also plays a role here: that of John McCain. The Democrat Mark Kelly, a former astronaut who is married to Gabrielle Giffords. The former congressman was seriously injured in mass shootings, but is consistently ahead of the polls by 6.2% on average. Flipping McCain's seat would be a major blow to Republicans and would suggest that Arizona is not only purple but blue too.
ALABAMA: DEMOCRATS DEFENDING A SENATE SEAT
Alabama says to expect all results on election night.
The ruby state's Senate seat went to Democrat Doug Jones in a special election in 2017. Republicans saw a vote collapse when the already controversial candidate Roy Moore was hit by allegations of inappropriate behavior towards teenage girls, which he denies. Jones won 1.5% and now faces Tommy Tuberville, a former Auburn University coach. Limited polls gave the Republican an 11-point lead in October.
MONTANA – REPUBLICANS DEFENDING A SENATE SEAT
Not competitive for Trump and Biden, but Democratic Governor Steve Bullock is running for the Senate against Republican incumbent Steve Daines. In this tiny state, polls were relatively rare. The three most recent polls all point to a close race. Bullock is either three points behind Daines, three points ahead, or one point ahead.
WHAT TO SEE
WISCONSIN – WON TRUMP 2016
First results will be published immediately, with Washington County, which is largely rural but has a few suburbs from Milwaukee, likely to be the first to be fully declared. The final results are expected by 7 a.m. in the heavily Democratic Milwaukee County. The Supreme Court has prevented ballot papers from being counted after November 2nd, meaning a full count by Wednesday is realistic.
Trump only took Wisconsin 0.8% in one of the 2016 riots that cost Clinton the White House. Trump has repeatedly held rallies there – including in Kenosha on Monday evening (right). The state has been one of the worst hit by the coronavirus in recent weeks, but Trump continues to believe that he can repeat the surprise of 2016. His survey average there has been bad since the summer and Biden is now 6.6% higher.
Polls in California and Washington state; and Pacific Time polls in Oregon and Idaho.
WHAT TO SEE
MINNESOTA – CLINTON WON IN 2016, DEMOCRATS DEFENDING A SENATE SEAT
Now expect an idea of the direction of Minnesota. Minnesota gave itself two weeks to begin the postal ballot count. The results should therefore be available on November 3rd. The state ballot papers had to be returned by election day, which could also speed up the process.
Polls have never shown Trump before Biden, despite the fact that the president played a piece for the blue state anyway, suggesting its demographics are similar to Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, where he won the White House in 2016. The Real Clear Politics survey average has Biden 4.3 points ahead.
Democratic Senator Tina Smith is seeking re-election with a challenge to Republican Jason Lewis. She asked an average of five points from the challenger, who had to stop the campaign for much of the past week due to emergency hernia surgery.
NEBRASKA – TRUMP WON SINGLE COLLEAGUE IN 2016
Nebraska began counting its postal ballot papers before election day, and postal ballots had to be returned by November 3rd. So the expectation is that the results will be published quickly. Nebraska divides its votes for the electoral college so that each congressional district has one. Only one is competitive – Nebraska-02, which represents Omaha and its suburbs. It was only about two points for Trump last time and the few polls are sure to get Biden up three points – although Democrats believe it could be more. Trump fought in Omaha hoping to keep the vote because in a close fight this could be crucial. Nebraska is usually relatively quick and all results are due by midnight. So make sure it is known now.
COLORADO: REPUBLICANS DEFENDING A SENATE
Most of Colorado was already mailed, so it expects the effects of the pandemic to be easier to manage than some states. Partial results are uploaded approximately every 90 minutes, so the first should now be safely processed.
Cory Gardner, the seated Republican senator, faces popular former Democratic governor John Hickenlooper. In October there were only two polls in which Hickenlooper scored eight or nine points each. In a state that was Clinton with 4.9 points in 2016, Gardner has bonded closely with Trump, whom Democrats believe will seal his fate.
OTHER: Calls will come for what is sure to be a democratic west coast. By now, Joe Biden is likely to garner more than 200 votes for the electoral college, with California's mammoth 55 being key to its great advantage – Trump could only be 104 at this point. Now it is entirely up to the competing states to see what happens next. Trump's path to re-election could now be over or be a nail biter.
Polls close in Alaska (excluding the Hawaii time zone) and Hawaii
WHAT TO SEE
Reinforcements: Fear of losing Iowa and a Senate seat sent Donald Trump and Mike Pence to Iowa to fight Joni Ernst
IOWA – TRUMP WON IN 2016, REPUBLICANS DEFENDING A SENATE SEAT
Counts relatively quickly and the first results should have leaked by now. Trump overtook Biden in the recent Iowa election after the Democrat took the lead for most of the fall. Real Clear Politics' survey average is 1.4 points ahead of Trump.
In the last four polls, Trump won the state. The poll in the Des Moines Register gave Trump the biggest edge, beating Biden 7-48 percent to 41 percent. Ballot papers stamped by November 2nd and arriving by November 9th can also be counted. This could give Biden a boost when the race is tight.
In the Senate, Republican Joni Ernst is facing a huge challenge from Theresa Greenfield. Four out of five polls put Ernst in the lead in October, but only one out of error, while another said so for Greenfield.
The last polls in Alaska are over – voting is over everywhere
WHAT TO SEE
NEVADA – CLINTON WON 2016
Nevada has sent ballots out to every registered voter this year, and those ballots only need to be stamped by November 3rd – meaning the count can take days. However, mail-in ballots can be counted before election day so some results can be reported on November 3rd. If it's tight, the ballots counted later will likely lean towards Biden.
Biden was always ahead of Trump in Nevada, while Trump was never ahead in a poll last year. In the survey average by Real Clear Politics, the democrat wins the state with 3.6 points.
Everywhere: Hillary Clinton was declared the loser on November 9, 2016 at 2:29 a.m.
In 2016, the Associated Press said Trump won and Hillary Clinton lost.
MAINE – TRUMP WON AN ELECTION IN 2016 FOR COLLEAGUES, REPUBLICANS DEFENDING A SENATE
Like Nebraska, Maine shares its votes for the electoral college with one for each congressional district. Maine officials allow postal ballots to be counted before polls are completed.
But Maine uses a ranked preference system, which means that if a candidate breaks 50 percent, the result will likely be before midnight. If not, the ballot papers go to Augusta to tabulate the second preferences, which could go well into Wednesday.
Trump hat Hillary Clinton 2016 dank Maines 2. Kongressbezirk im Norden des Bundesstaates eine Wahlstimme entzogen. Alle drei im Oktober durchgeführten Umfragen zeigten jedoch, dass Biden dort um rund 3 Punkte vorne liegt.
Die republikanische Senatorin Susan Collins scheint auch für die demokratische Herausfordererin Sara Gideon zutiefst anfällig zu sein.
Collins, für den Trump nicht geworben hat, ist in den Umfragen im Oktober um vier bis sieben Punkte gesunken und wurde überwiegend überfinanziert. Sie hatte ihren Sitz 2014 mit einem Vorsprung von 37 Punkten gehalten, aber die Demokraten glauben, dass sie die verletzlichste republikanische Senatorin von allen ist.
Alles über Michigan: Joe Biden hat am Samstag in Detroit mit Barack Obama gekämpft. Die Demokraten sind entschlossen, die Überraschung von 2016 nicht zu wiederholen
MICHIGAN-TRUMP GEWINNEN SIE 2016, DEMOKRATEN, DIE EINEN SENATSITZ VERTEIDIGEN
Michigans Ergebnisse werden sich nur langsam einstellen, da die Auszählung der Briefwahl erst am 2. November begann. Michigans Staatssekretär schätzte, dass es bis Freitag dauern könnte, bis alle Stimmzettel gezählt sind. Der Staat könnte später in der Woche in Richtung Biden tendieren, da Demokraten eher dazu neigen, ihre Stimmzettel einzusenden.
Laut Umfragen hat Biden in Michigan, einem der drei "Blue Wall" -Staaten, die Trump 2016 gewonnen hat, monatelang die Nase vorn. Eine bahnbrechende Trafalgar-Umfrage ergab jedoch, dass Trump um 2 Punkte zulegte. Insgesamt liegt Biden im Umfragedurchschnitt von Real Clear Politics um 5,1 Punkte vorn.
Der demokratische Senator Gary Peters verteidigt auch seinen Sitz gegen den Republikaner John James. James, der schwarz ist, wurde als aufstrebender republikanischer Stern angesehen. Aber Peters 'Umfragedurchschnitt liegt um 5,5 Punkte vor ihm, fast identisch mit Bidens Vorsprung.
Hut alle: Kein Staat hat jede Kampagne mehr besetzt als Pennsylvania – aber wann die Ergebnisse ihrer Bemühungen bekannt sein werden, ist unbekannt
PENNSYLVANIA – TRUMP GEWONNEN 2016
Mail-In-Stimmzettel können erst am 3. November um 7 Uhr morgens im Keystone-Status bearbeitet werden. Dies bedeutet, dass ein endgültiges Ergebnis Tage dauern kann. Einige Grafschaften in Pennsylvania planen auch, zuerst die Stimmen am Wahltag persönlich zu zählen – dies könnte Trump einen wahrgenommenen Vorteil im Bundesstaat verschaffen, nur damit spätere Stimmzettel die Zählung in Richtung Biden verschieben.
Am Wahltag abgestempelte Briefwahlzettel können erst am 6. November eintreffen, was den Prozess weiter verlängert. Die Zählfrist endet am 23. November – ganze 20 Tage nach der Wahl -, aber die Beamten haben auf den Freitag hingewiesen, an dem die Stimmen der meisten Pennsylvanianer gezählt werden.
Die Umfragen in Pennsylvania hatten Biden monatelang den Vorteil verschafft, aber mehrere Umfragen Ende Oktober zeigen, dass Trump in dem Bundesstaat, in dem er 2016 seinen Wahlkollegiumsgewinn errungen hatte, die Nase vorn hat. Durch das engere Rennen hat Biden im Real Clear Politics-Umfragedurchschnitt um 2,9 Punkte zugelegt.
UND WO DIE KANDIDATEN ZU FINDEN SIND
TRUMPF: Der Präsident wird im Weißen Haus eine Party mit mehreren hundert Anhängern veranstalten, die alle auf Coronavirus getestet werden, da die Veranstaltung im Inneren stattfinden wird. Die Trump-Kampagne förderte eine Wahlnacht im Hotel des Präsidenten in Washington, DC, aber Trump zeigte mit einem Finger auf Bürgermeister Muriel Bowser, der in der zweiten Phase die Versammlungen auf 50 Personen beschränkt, als Parteikiller. Da das Weiße Haus Eigentum des Bundes ist, kann Trump tun, was er will.
BIDEN: Der demokratische Kandidat wird in der Wahlnacht mit seiner Laufkameradin, Senatorin Kamala Harris, in Wilmington, Delaware, sein. Die Kampagne hat noch keine weiteren Details zu ihren Plänen veröffentlicht. Zuvor wird Biden noch eine Reise in die Stadt Pennsylvania machen, in der er geboren wurde, Scranton, und er wird in Philadelphia Halt machen, wo sich seine Wahlkampfbüros befanden. Harris wird auch in Detroit einen letzten Wahltag einlegen. Ebenso wie Dr. Jill Biden, die Frau des ehemaligen Vizepräsidenten. Sie wird in Tampa und St. Petersburgh, Florida, sein und dann nach Wake County, North Carolina, fahren. Harris 'Ehemann Doug Emhoff wird in Columbus, Ohio, sein.
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Amerika hat das Wort: Im Morgengrauen außerhalb der Wahllokale im ganzen Land bilden sich riesige Linien, während die Wähler am Wahltag bereits 100 Millionen Stimmzettel abgeben
Die Amerikaner haben begonnen, ihre Stimmzettel zum Wahltag im hart umkämpften Rennen des Präsidenten zwischen Donald Trump und Joe Biden abzugeben, als Wahllokale in den Vereinigten Staaten eröffnet wurden.
Lange Schlangen bildeten sich lange vor Tagesanbruch am Dienstag, und in einigen östlichen Bundesstaaten wurden bereits um 6 Uhr EST Umfragen eröffnet.
Diejenigen, die am Wahltag ihre Stimmzettel abgeben, werden die Rekordzahl der Amerikaner – fast 100 Millionen – erhöhen, die entweder persönlich oder per Post vorzeitig abgestimmt haben.
Einige, die früh gewählt hatten, waren nicht nur motiviert, am Wahltag inmitten der COVID-19-Pandemie in Warteschlangen zu stehen, sondern auch von außerordentlichem Enthusiasmus nach einer Polarisierungskampagne.
Während es an vielen Stellen lange Schlangen gab, waren in einigen Staaten die Schlangen kürzer – möglicherweise ein Spiegelbild der massiven vorzeitigen Abstimmung.
In Pennsylvania stellten sich an einem ungewöhnlich kühlen Morgen Dutzende von Wählern in Jacken und Hüten auf. Some voters in suburban Ohio and Michigan braved the cold temperatures as they started lining up outside polling stations before the sun had even risen.
UNION, KENTUCKY: Hundreds of voters wait in line at a polling location at the Larry A Ryle High School in Union
PALM BEACH, FLORIDA: People will line up at the Morton and Barbara Mandel Recreation Center first thing Tuesday morning to cast their vote for Trump or Biden
LOUISVILLE, KENTUCKY: Voters report to election officials before receiving their ballard papers at Ballard High School
MARSHFIELD, MASS: Voters braved long lines and cold weather outside a polling station at Marshfield High School
HOUSTON, TEXAS: Lines outside this polling station in Houston Texas stretched around the block after opening
In McConnellsburg, Pennsylvania, Martin Seylar, a 45-year-old welder who had just finished his shift, said of Trump, his preferred candidate: 'He's a bit of a jerk, and I appreciate that.
'He doesn't get everything that he says done, but the way I see it is he's trying, versus where everybody else blows smoke at us.'
In Detroit, Republican voter Nick Edwards, 26, cast a ballot for Biden but voted for Republican candidates for Congress.
'Honestly, decency in the White House,' Edwards said when asked about his main concern. 'When someone leads the party, they need to hold those values, as well. I don't think Trump encompasses that.'
Biden, the Democratic former vice president who has spent a half century in public life, has held a strong and consistent lead in national opinion polls over the Republican president. But Trump is close enough in several election battleground states that he could piece together the 270 state-by-state Electoral College votes needed to win the election.
The most closely watched results will be visible after 7:00 p.m. EST when polls in states like Georgia close.
However, definitive national results can take days if the competition is tight.
Results in Florida, where mail-in ballots can be counted before Election Day, are expected to begin to come in relatively quickly on Tuesday night.
But Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin will not begin counting the vast majority of mail ballots until Election Day, raising the possibility of a prolonged vote count that could stretch for several days.
CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA: Voters check in at First Ward Elementary School in Charlotte, North Carolina shortly after the polls opened on Election Day
LOS ANGELES: People wait in line for the vote center to open at the Pantages Theatre on the Hollywood Walk of Fame to cast their ballots
PORTLAND, MAINE: People are waiting in line to be the first to vote on Tuesday morning in Maine
LANSING, MICHIGAN: Voters in Lansing lined up outside Willow School before sunrise on Election Day
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