ENTERTAINMENT

Greater Manchester faces the noon deadline for the third stage decision


Greater Manchester is facing a "high noon" when the third stage is closed. Ministers are preparing to override local leaders and Tory MPs, despite numbers suggesting the coronavirus surge is already easing in key areas.

Area Mayor Andy Burnham railed this morning after a week of bitter fighting over a compensation package on the government's "provocative" deadline.

But he did admit that if Boris Johnson is forcing the matter he will have to abide by the law, he said he would give one final number to the government that is offering the area up to £ 100 million.

Mr Burnham also touched on "selective" figures highlighted by Downing Street, which suggested that Greater Manchester hospitals could be overwhelmed in a matter of weeks if tougher measures were not taken. He insisted that the occupancy of the intensive care beds at this time of year was approximately normal at 80 percent.

The high-stakes brinkmanship came when a portion of the country faces escalated to the highest lockdown class, which meant closing pubs and restaurants as well as a ban on mixing households indoors.

However, new questions have been raised about the need for the drastic move, as official data shows that Nottingham, Newcastle, Sheffield and Manchester are among the cities where cases plateaued after spiking in late September when thousands of college students and college students , staff have started pouring back into universities. Infection rates in all four cities have been falling for several days.

In a round of interviews this morning, Mr Burnham criticized the nightly statement by Local Government Secretary Robert Jenrick setting the noon ultimatum.

The mayor, who called for support equal to the 80 percent vacation program for those affected by the lockdown, claimed Greater Manchester leaders "never got a number" of how much money they would receive. And he said they must have carte blanche on how the money will be spent.

“What I will suggest to the Greater Manchester leaders when we meet early this morning is that we write to the government and state what we think is a fair number for that support, given that we have been restricted for three years Months and that has taken a real toll on people and businesses here, ”said Burnham.

"The second thing we would need is full flexibility to support the people who we believe will need support in a Tier 3 lockdown."

Mr Burnham said, “I don't think the government should enforce or dictate that way. We have to work together as a country and I have offered to work with the government all year round.

& # 39; Greater Manchester needs a fair financial framework for Tier Three as there is a chance all parts of England will fall under Tier Three at some point in the winter and if the conditions are not right we will see real damage to people's lives at large Country.

"This is a problem for everyone and it's not just about standing up for Greater Manchester."

In other coronavirus developments:

  • Wales was thrown into a "breaker" lockdown, leaving England the only British nation holding back.
  • Ireland's Prime Minister announced a six-week closure of the republic with draconian restrictions on movement, although no new deaths were recorded.
  • Nicola Sturgeon has signaled that restrictions on circuit breakers are likely to last longer when mixing households.
  • Sir Patrick Vallance gloomy claimed that even with a vaccine, Covid-19 is unlikely to go away;
  • The UK recorded another 18,804 coronavirus cases, up 34.6 percent last Monday. The death toll is 80, 60 percent higher than a week ago;
  • England's deputy chief medical officer called for the nation's curfew to be brought forward from 10 p.m. to 6 p.m.

The daily number of coronavirus cases, counted by the date the sample was taken, has been decreasing in key cities in recent days

Prime Minister Boris Johnson

The Mayor of Manchester Andy Burnham

Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham (today) called the government's ultimatum "provocative". Boris Johnson (left) assembled his cabinet this morning as the coronavirus crisis continues

People make their way to work past an electronic Covid-19 warning sign advising people to enter Manchester city center

People make their way to work past an electronic Covid-19 warning sign advising people to enter Manchester city center

Andy Burnham has blasted Health Secretary Matt Hancock's dubious use of "selective statistics" to spread fear and panic "across the NHS in Greater Manchester". Labor MP Lucy Powell also criticized the government's panic tactics, calling attempts to “spin hospital data” as “counterproductive and unhelpful” and causing “a lot of fear”.

Andy Burnham has blasted Health Secretary Matt Hancock's dubious use of "selective statistics" to spread fear and panic "over the Greater Manchester NHS". Labor MP Lucy Powell also criticized the government's panic tactics, calling attempts to “spin hospital data” as “counterproductive and unhelpful” and causing “a lot of fear”.

The UK recorded 18,804 Covid-19 cases and 80 deaths yesterday as infections and deaths rise

The UK recorded 18,804 Covid-19 cases and 80 deaths yesterday as infections and deaths rise

Official data shows that the seven-day rolling average of coronavirus cases in Greater Manchester has declined in recent days

Official data shows that the seven-day rolling average of coronavirus cases in Greater Manchester has declined in recent days

The graph on the left shows how many Covid-19 deaths (blue dots) have been recorded daily in Manchester NHS trusts since the start of the pandemic. The three dotted lines are projections based on previous models of health bosses and leaked to The Guardian. They show how deaths could have accelerated under different scenarios. The paper didn't reveal what the different lines stood for, but it's likely that the steepest would have shown how quickly deaths would have changed in the worst case scenario. The graph on the right shows the same, but for the number of infected patients in the intensive care unit. Red dots indicate the actual number of coronavirus patients who were mechanically ventilated on a given day, while the three dotted lines show projections of how the number might grow under different growth rates

The graph on the left shows how many Covid-19 deaths (blue dots) have been recorded daily in Manchester NHS trusts since the pandemic began. The three dotted lines are projections based on previous models of health bosses and leaked to The Guardian. They show how deaths could have accelerated under different scenarios. The newspaper didn't reveal what the different lines stood for, but it's likely that the steepest would have shown how quickly deaths would have changed in the worst case scenario. The graph on the right shows the same, but for the number of infected patients in the intensive care unit. Red dots indicate the actual number of coronavirus patients who were mechanically ventilated on a given day, while the three dotted lines show projections of how the number might grow under different growth rates

Nicola Sturgeon's two-week breaker is getting longer

Nicola Sturgeon has warned Scots they could face tough new restrictions starting next week as the home visit ban is set to stay in place for "for the foreseeable future".

The First Minister confirmed yesterday that a three-tier system will be announced within a few days.

A ban on cross-border travel is among the curbs being considered, she said.

Following a surge in Covid-19 cases, details of a new “strategic framework” for a three-tier system for Scotland will be released by the end of the week.

Doing so could result in fines for those who try to break the rules.

Miss Sturgeon warned of possible further curbs and refused to speculate what they might look like.

However, she confirmed that the ban on visiting family or friends' homes will remain in place for the "foreseeable future".

The current controls for pubs and restaurants will end on Monday.

This includes the complete closure of pubs and restaurants across the Central Belt, as well as strict restrictions in the rest of the country.

But Miss Sturgeon warned against hoping to return to normal.

Ministers have given Manchester leaders until noon today to reach an agreement on the city's entry into the Tier 3 coronavirus and say the government will "step in" if local leaders Heads of government do not agree to impose the economically damaging restrictions in a timely manner.

Up to 10 million people are living under the toughest of measures this week after talks about whether the region should enter the very high risk Tier 3 again ended in dead end yesterday.

In a statement released last night, Jenrick said he had written to local leaders by noon today to reach an agreement on introducing Tier 3 curbs – and if it doesn't, the Prime Minister will be forced be to intervene.

But Mr Burnham and local MPs have accused the government and Department of Health Secretary Matt Hancock of using dubious "selective statistics" to spread fear and panic about the nature of the NHS run over.

Lucy Powell, Labor MP for Manchester Central, has broken the government's panic tactic, calling its attempts to "spin" hospital data "counterproductive and unhelpful".

But Economy Minister Nadhim Zahawi reiterated the claim this morning.

Mr. Zahawi told BBC Radio 4's Today program: “We have been negotiating in good faith with Andy Burnham and other local leaders in Greater Manchester for 10 days.

& # 39; They will run out of ICU capacity in Greater Manchester by the first week of November if the trajectory continues at current speed.

"That is what we should both focus on and put politics aside."

Mr Zahawi said Greater Manchester was offered £ 22 million to encourage contact tracing, making it clear that more was on the table.

"We told Andy and other local executives that we will be putting £ 22m in Greater Manchester, £ 8 a head," he said.

There would also be "additional support in line with what we have done in the Liverpool City region and Lancashire".

Mr Burnham said the government was trying to respond "cheaply" to the pandemic.

"It seems that there has been an abrupt change since summer where it's now the other way around," he said.

“We're trying to respond cheaply to a pandemic, that's what it feels like.

“Then it is especially relevant if you come to a regional lockdown because by definition these will be divisive and if you do not fully fund them you will widen the divisions in society.

"The danger for me of an underfunded regional lockdown is that it is an act of leveling a government that has announced otherwise."

Mr Burnham's MP has argued that if the government spends £ 14 million a month protecting the most vulnerable, Greater Manchester could be spared the third stage lockdown.

Manchester City Council chairman Sir Richard Leese claimed that there would be less than a fifth the cost of closing businesses under the restrictions, which would allow businesses to stay open and the majority of people to impose stricter restrictions avoid.

Sir Richard said, “Most people who test positive for the virus don't get particularly sick. They are not the problem, 'and indicate that the elderly and those with pre-existing underlying medical conditions, diabetes, obesity, high blood pressure or respiratory problems, are most at risk of hospitalization.

"If this is the evidence, wouldn't it be much better to have an effective protection program for the most vulnerable than a blanket policy to shut down businesses that are dubiously effective?"

The idea was supported by local Tory MPs. James Daly, the Tory MP from Bury North, said he was "extremely sympathetic" with Sir Richard's proposal.

Chris Green, the Tory MP from Bolton West, said, “I think this is a good direction to go. Let's keep our hospitality going through Christmas and support the people at home when they are deemed vulnerable. & # 39;

William Wragg, the Tory MP from Hazel Grove, said: "I think Richard Lee's proposal is justified and should be given due consideration."

Sir Graham Brady, MP for Altrincham and Sale West and chairman of the powerful 1922 Tory Committee, said: “The basic point about Tier 3 is that the proposals appear to have no evidence.

The Mayor of Manchester calls for a "shield plan"

The Mayor of Manchester has called for a "shielding" approach to the coronavirus rather than shutting down the economy.

Sir Richard Leese said that most people who test positive for the virus "don't get particularly sick," but the problem was that too many are getting sick now and the number of hospitalizations and intensive care units is increasing.

He said the government's "blanket business closure policy" was questionable and instead suggested that a protection program for the most vulnerable would work better.

"Most people who test positive for the virus don't get particularly sick," Sir Richard said in a blog post.

& # 39; You are not the problem. Too many are getting sick now and the number of hospital cases is increasing, as is the number of people with Covid in the intensive care unit.

& # 39; That's the problem. & # 39;

He said health professionals now know the greatest risk for hospital admissions: the elderly and those with existing underlying conditions, diabetes, obesity, high blood pressure and other respiratory diseases.

He added: “If this is the evidence, it wouldn't be much better to have an effective protection program for the most vulnerable than having a blanket policy of closing down businesses with questionable effectiveness.

"Unfortunately, the government, which has poorly enforced regulations, does not seem willing to reconsider."

The idea was supported by local Tory MPs. James Daly, the Tory MP from Bury North, said he was "extremely sympathetic" with Sir Richard's proposal.

Chris Green, the Tory MP from Bolton West, said, “I think this is a good direction to go. Let's keep our hospitality going through Christmas and support the people at home when they are deemed vulnerable. & # 39;

William Wragg, the Tory MP from Hazel Grove, said: "I think Richard Lee's proposal is justified and should be given due consideration."

Sir Graham Brady, MP for Altrincham and Sale West and chairman of the powerful 1922 Tory Committee, said: “The basic point about Tier 3 is that the proposals appear to have no evidence.

"There is no reason to believe that closing some pubs and bars would have a significant impact on the spread of the virus."

In his letter, Jenrick said, “There are now more Covid-19 patients in Greater Manchester hospitals than in all of the Southwest and Southeast combined. Unfortunately, despite realizing the severity of the situation, the local leaders have so far been unwilling to take the necessary measures to get this situation under control.

“I wrote to the local leaders tonight to make it clear that I have to tell the Prime Minister that, despite our best efforts, if we cannot reach an agreement by noon tomorrow. It's not too late for local leaders to work with us to take action for the people of Greater Manchester. & # 39;

The letter seen by MailOnline offers the area an additional £ 22 million in financial support, which is only £ 8 per capita for the 2.8 million residents.

Coronavirus infections are on the decline in some of England's largest cities, including Manchester, as official figures show, although Mr Hancock threatens to plunge many of them into Tier 3.

In Nottingham, the rolling weekly case rate peaked at 1,001.2 per 100,000 people in the seven days ending October 8 – the highest in England – but the number has been falling since then and is currently 787.6.

The current rate in Manchester is 432.5 after hitting a high of 583.5 in the seven days to October 3rd, while in Sheffield it was 396.7, after a high of 500.3 in the Week until October 7th. The rate in Newcastle is 371.5 compared to 553.8 in the same interval.

Although infections are emerging in some of the country's major cities, the cities and counties around them are starting to see a surge, which may explain the government's willingness to lock down more areas.

Manchester City is the only area in the Greater Manchester area where daily infections are falling, but the outbreaks in Trafford, Stockport and Oldham have also stabilized. And the rate at which cases are increasing in the other nine counties has started to slow.

For example, through October 12, Bury was reporting an average of 108 cases per day, up from 97 daily cases the week before, an 11 percent increase. This is a marked decrease from the increase between September 28 and October 5, when daily cases rose 33 percent from 73 to 97.

A similar trend has taken place in the other districts. In Wigan, the average number of daily cases over seven days is 205 – a nine percent increase from the previous seven days. For comparison: this number almost doubled from September 28 (99.3) to October 5 (188).

Rochdale & # 39; s currently has 149 cases a day, up 16 percent the week before it was 128. The increase from the week was then much less than the increase between September 28 and October 5, when the daily falls rose 59 percent from 86 to 128 cents.

Sheffield, Leeds and Nottingham are also closely monitored and could be subject to the higher restrictions.

If so, another 13.1 million would be placed under the most restrictive coronavirus rules.

No10 has tried to get Andy Burnham to accept curbs that would bring the Manchester economy to a standstill by warning that the region's ICU beds could be overcrowded by mid-November.

So far, only Merseyside and Lancashire are in Tier 3, requiring closings of pubs and other venues that health officials claim are most contributing to the spread of Covid-19.

Another 5.3 million in Scotland and Northern Ireland are already subject to even more draconian restrictions, while 3.1 million in Wales will be completely suspended from Friday night.

In a joint statement, Mr Burnham and Mr Richard said they were still hoping for a "positive outcome". At the same time, they made it clear that they were determined to work for a financial support package.

They said it was "surprising and disappointing" that an earlier offer of a hardship fund to top up vacation pay and support the self-employed had been "taken off the table" by Health Secretary Matt Hancock.

& # 39; Tonight we wrote to the Prime Minister reaffirming our readiness to continue working towards an agreement but reminding him that Greater Manchester has been in Tier 2 restrictions for almost three months and that this is the people and businesses here has taken a toll, & # 39; They said.

"With this in mind, we do not think it inappropriate to ask for better protection for our worst-paid residents."

The Prime Minister had previously said he wanted to get the "consensus" of local leaders before moving them to Tier 3.

Ministers fear that if they are not supported, public confidence in restrictions will be damaged.

But after more than a week of talking, Whitehall sources said yesterday evening that the Prime Minister felt he had no choice but to take action in Greater Manchester to address the "health emergency" there.

Mr. Jenrick had "final talks" with local leaders yesterday which ended in sharpness.

In a somber statement, a government spokesman described the talks as "disappointing," adding, "This is especially true given the increasing number of cases and hospitalizations in Greater Manchester. We are carefully considering how to proceed."

Covid-19 will likely NEVER go away with a vaccine, warns Patrick Vallance in another dire prediction

According to Sir Patrick Vallance, the coronavirus will likely never go away and a vaccine won't stop it entirely.

Speaking to members of the House of Lords, the chief scientific adviser said he thinks the virus will one day become like the flu and cause outbreaks every year.

He said ministers and experts should stop being too promising and be realistic about a vaccine's prospect and a vaccine's likely schedule.

A shock is unlikely to be completed before spring, said Sir Patrick, reiterating his previous warnings and those of his colleague Professor Chris Whitty that the Covid-19 battle will be lengthy.

At the same meeting, Sir Patrick said he still believes that a pandemic flu is the greatest threat to the UK and that his office has a second system in place in case another crisis breaks out before the coronavirus epidemic ends.

"I think we are unlikely to get a truly sterilizing vaccine – that is, something that will completely stop the infection – and it is likely that the disease will circulate and become endemic," Sir Patrick said at a meeting of the National Security Strategy Committee the Lords this afternoon.

“That's my best guess, and I think a lot of people on SAGE think this is a likely outcome.

“When management gets better, when you get a vaccination that reduces the risk of infection and the severity of the disease, or whatever the profile of the vaccines, it clearly looks more like annual flu than anything else.

"That could be the direction we end up going."

Yesterday's government forecasts suggested Greater Manchester hospitals may be overwhelmed.

"Cases in Greater Manchester continue to grow," said the Prime Minister's official spokesman. "Hospital admissions in Greater Manchester double every nine days."

The Prime Minister's spokesman said that in the "best-case scenario" modeled by government scientists, all available critical care capacities would be used by October 28th and would exceed the peak of the first wave by November 2nd.

The projections suggest that Covid patients will admit the entire current intensive care unit by November 8, and the entire surge capacity by November 12.

However, No. 10 admitted that the numbers do not include Nightingale hospital capacity.

In one round of interviews, Mr Jenrick said, “I think it is very clear that now, after having been discussing this for over a week, this needs to be brought to a close.

“I think everyone in Greater Manchester would agree. So I hope that one way or another we come to a conclusion today or tomorrow. & # 39;

The Liverpool City area received £ 30m for helping local businesses when it entered tier three, along with £ 14m for additional contact tracing capacity and £ 7m for tier two.

Adjusting the overall package for the larger Manchester population would be worth around £ 95 million.

Although Mr Burnham has urged that 80 percent instead of two-thirds of the vacation be paid for by the government, this is being done centrally and separately from the bailouts.

Government projections suggested that Manchester hospitals may be overwhelmed.

Currently, the number of Covid-19 patients in the intensive care unit is around 40 percent of those at the height of the first wave.

Assuming a doubling time of 14 days – the "best case" according to the SPI-M modeling group – all available intensive care capacities would be used by October 28th and would exceed the peak of the first wave by November 2nd.

The projections suggest that Covid patients will admit the entire current intensive care unit by November 8 and the entire surge capacity by November 12.

When asked if this means that hospitals are overwhelmed, the spokesman said, "Yes, that's the full ICU capacity."

Talks about coronavirus restrictions have also taken place with executives from North East, South Yorkshire, West Yorkshire and Nottinghamshire, according to Downing Street.

It comes because Wales and Ireland have been thrown into lockdown in a desperate attempt to suppress Covid-19. Irish Prime Minister Micheal Martin announced plans to impose one of Europe's toughest shutdowns for six weeks from midnight on Wednesday, although there were no new Covid-19 deaths reported yesterday.

Ireland will be put into one of the strictest lockdowns in Europe for six weeks starting Wednesday at midnight, despite no Covid-19 deaths recorded yesterday. Taoiseach Mícheal Martin said the government was introducing level 5 restrictions because "the evidence of a potentially serious situation in the coming weeks was too strong".

Ireland will be put into one of the strictest lockdowns in Europe for six weeks starting Wednesday at midnight, despite no Covid-19 deaths recorded yesterday. Taoiseach Mícheal Martin said the government was introducing level 5 restrictions because "the evidence of a potentially serious situation in the coming weeks was too strong".

Ireland has registered a total of 49,962 cases, with an additional 1,283 infections added in the last 24 hours

The death toll remains low, with just three deaths on Sunday, bringing the total to 1,852 deaths. There were no new deaths

The death toll remains low, with just three deaths on Sunday, bringing the total to 1,852 deaths. There were no new deaths

Counties of Donegal, Cavan, and Monaghan are currently at Level 4, while the rest of the country is at Level 3

Counties of Donegal, Cavan, and Monaghan are currently at Level 4, while the rest of the country is at Level 3

Cabinet ministers have agreed to impose Level 5 restrictions, which will force most businesses to close, prevent mass gatherings and restrict free movement across the republic until December 1.

Matt Hancock reveals millions more people in South Yorkshire, West Yorkshire, Nottinghamshire, the North East and Teesside could be heading for a Tier 3 lockdown with talks scheduled to take place THIS WEEK

Matt Hancock announced this afternoon that millions more people in the north of England will be slammed into top tier 3 suspension this week.

The Health Secretary said talks would take place with local leaders in South Yorkshire, West Yorkshire, Nottinghamshire, the North East and Teesside after agreements were made for Liverpool and Lancashire.

But it came amid an ongoing argument with Greater Manchester. Ministers have issued an ultimatum to the region's Labor Mayor Andy Burnham and mutinous MPs that they must make a deal today – or that they will be forced into the tougher curbs tomorrow.

Housing Secretary Robert Jenrick warned the talks had been "too long" and urged the region to accept a funding package worth up to £ 100 million.

Downing Street tried today to put pressure on the Mancunian rebels by warning that unless the coronavirus outbreak is brought under control, the area's hospitals will be overwhelmed by October 28.

The region could be using all of its ICU capacity by that date, and demand will surpass the previous peak by November 2nd, according to the latest estimates. Even the "surge" fallback is exceeded four days later.

Downing Street highlighted the grim assessment, based on the SPI-M group's "best-case" scenario, whereby cases double every 14 days, while Mayor Andy Burnham and local MPs argue violently over whether a lockdown should be taken the third stage is to be imposed.

Speaking to the House of Commons this afternoon, Mr Hancock said: “Following the successful implementation of measures in Liverpool and Lancashire, talks will continue this afternoon with Greater Manchester under the direction of (the Secretary) and further talks with South Yorkshire, West, planned Yorkshire, Nottinghamshire, the Northeast, and Teesside. & # 39;

As part of the new measures, the public will be encouraged to stay at home, with movement being allowed within a 5 km radius of their home.

Public gatherings other than groups of 10 people for funerals and 25 people for weddings are prohibited, and only important businesses are allowed to remain open.

Construction is allowed, but pPubs, restaurants and cafes can only offer takeaways and deliveries.

The Taoiseach said the government had introduced level 5 restrictions across the country because "the evidence of a potentially dire situation in the coming weeks was now too strong".

Michael Martin said schools and crèches would remain open because "we cannot and will not allow the future of our children and young people to be another victim of this disease". He added, "They need their training."

He also said The government will support efforts to suppress the virus with "increased financial assistance" to individuals and businesses, including improvements to the pandemic unemployment benefit and wage subsidy system. It will also introduce new mental health services.

Mr. Martin added that social isolation and anxiety are very "real problems" and therefore those who live alone or are single parents could mate with another household as part of a "support bubble".

Ireland recorded 1,283 coronavirus cases yesterday, but deaths remain small with only three deaths recorded yesterday. No new deaths were reported.

Of the new cases, 235 were in Dublin, 232 in Cork, 60 in Galway, 47 in Limerick, 47 in Kerry, and the remaining 410 cases were spread across 21 counties. As of 2 p.m. this afternoon, there were 298 people with Covid-19 in hospitals, including 34 people in intensive care units.

Public health officials yesterday recommended moving to level 5 for six weeks. It was the second time in a fortnight that they'd advised the government to act at the highest level.

The government disregarded the previous advice. Instead, they have placed the entire country in Level 3 restrictions. Currently Donegal, Cavan, and Monaghan counties are at Level 4, while the rest of the country is at Level 3.

Political leaders were informed by health officials in Dublin on Saturday of their concerns over the recent rapid spread of the virus. The Cabinet Subcommittee met this morning to discuss the latest advice from Nphet.

The leaders of the ruling parties also met to discuss the final details of the plan ahead of Monday evening's cabinet meeting.

Earlier, Transport Secretary Eamon Ryan had warned that new restrictions would not be imposed immediately by saying, "You don't just flip a switch."

When asked about a timetable for the introduction of new measures, when he arrived for a meeting of the sub-cabinet on Monday, he said, “We will decide.

“I think one of the lessons before that is that you don't just flip a switch, you have to let people know a little bit. But the cabinet has to decide that. & # 39;

The leader of the Greens, Mr Ryan, said he hoped the decisions made would bring clarity to the public.

He said, “I hope there can be something because that's the important part of it. The Tanaiste got it right the other day, you need a number of indicators, but that has to be decided by the Cabinet. & # 39;

The curfew for pubs should be brought forward to 6 p.m., not 10 p.m., says Jonathan Van-Tam

The UK's deputy chief doctor has reportedly called for the bar's curfew to be brought forward at 10 p.m. in order to reduce the rising transmission rates.

Professor Jonathan Van-Tam admitted there was little evidence of the benefits of a 10 p.m. curfew and said he would prefer a 6 p.m. closing time as he spoke about the refusal of the refusal during a virtual meeting with Greater Manchester MPs City said it would comply with Tier 3 restrictions.

When asked if the 10 p.m. curfew will reduce the coronavirus transmission rate, the professor said, “Not really. I would prefer to be 6pm or earlier. & # 39;

However, the government adviser also admitted that, according to The Daily Telegraph, there is no evidence that closing pubs completely as part of a Tier 3 lockdown would control the virus.

His comments come as dozens of night owls brave the winter chill today as they enjoyed a night out in the capital's expanded beer gardens – just a day after London entered Tier 2 lockdown.

Pub goers swapped a night at home to sit outside the numerous bars in central London, Soho, and get around curbs, stopping several households in pubs and restaurants.

He also defended the time it took the government to respond to Nphet's advice to transition to the level five restrictions presented to Health Secretary Stephen Donnelly on Thursday for six weeks.

“I think it does things right. It's complicated, there are a multitude of effects on people's everyday lives.

"I think it is appropriate that we try to get the arrangements and details right during this time."

Sinn Fein leader Mary Lou McDonald said social support needs to be put in place.

She also called for the Pandemic Unemployment Payment (PUP) cuts to be fully restored.

Ms. McDonald told RTE's Morning Ireland that changes to restrictions need to be "balanced" and communicated clearly as people would "really struggle" and "make themselves sick" from new restrictions.

The National Public Health Emergency Team (Nphet) and Chief Medical Officer Tony Holohan called on the government last week to put the Level 5 restrictions in place for a period of six weeks.

Counties of Donegal, Cavan, and Monaghan are at Level 4, while the rest of the country is at Level 3.

It was reported on Sunday that a new lockdown would take four weeks, but it has since emerged that ministers have been asked to provide six weeks of support.

Gaelic games, horse racing and greyhound racing are still allowed behind closed doors according to the rules of level 5.

The non-contact sports training for children and teenagers can be continued outdoors, but only in groups of 15 people. Funerals are limited to 10 people.

Now Welsh First Minister Mark Drakeford said that Everyone in Wales is instructed to stay at home unless they are a critical worker or cannot work from home.

The Labor leader warned that failure to act now would mean "more people will die" as he said that households were forbidden to mix indoors and outdoors while exercise was allowed in the open air, but it has to "start and end at home".

Primary schools will reopen next week after the half-year, but secondary schools will not open until years seven and eight and for students taking exams.

The decision to impose a "short and deep" lockdown by November 9th, reflecting Sir Keir Starmer's national demands and wiping out Halloween and Bonfire Night, sparked angry political backlash after statistics show Wales saw a lower coronavirus infection rate exhibits than England.

The "breaking fire" move has been criticized by Welsh Tories, who said it would doom Wales to an endless cycle of two-week lockdowns, while Conservative MPs in Westminster said it was a "blunt instrument" and "the closure of all of Wales is disproportionate . " the risk in some parts of the country ”.

They also beat up Mr. Drakeford, accusing him of "small man syndrome". One MP told MailOnline: "They have someone who is the head of what is much smaller than the West Midlands but where they have a mayor, Wales." has a first minister.

“He tries to show that he is equal to Boris Johnson. He wants to be seen as equal, but is not. & # 39;

However, the move has put pressure on Mr Johnson, who despite the support of his own SAGE experts, has desperately opposed the option in England.

Lockdown's deadly number has been exposed: 50,000 children see surgery postponed, stroke treatment drops nearly 50%, and one in FIVE people has been hit by depression in just a month when the devastating effects of coronavirus restrictions were revealed

By David Rose for the Daily Mail

A devastating picture of the lockdown's impact on the country's health and well-being is revealed today in an exclusive analysis that brings together more than 130 studies.

The Daily Mail audit – based on research published by medical journals, leading scientists, and charities – shows the harm caused by the lockdown extends to all areas of health including cancer, heart disease, addiction, child welfare, domestic violence and mental violence illness.

Experts say the analysis suggests that even after the pandemic ends, it will be years for the NHS to catch up – and it will be too late for tens of thousands of patients.

Doctors and politicians have urged the government to ensure that all health services are protected if the spread of Covid-19 continues. The examination of 132 documents shows:

  • Delays in treatment are expected to increase deaths among newly diagnosed cancer patients in England by 20 percent – 6,270 deaths this year;
  • Die Behandlung von Schlaganfällen ging während der Sperrung um 45 Prozent zurück, und es gab mehr als 2.000 Todesfälle aufgrund von Herzerkrankungen.
  • Mehr als 50.000 Operationen für Kinder wurden abgesagt;
  • Organtransplantationen gingen um zwei Drittel zurück, wobei sich die Zahl der Verstorbenen auf der Warteliste für Transplantationen fast verdoppelte.
  • Die Gesamtzahl der Wartelisten für orthopädische Routine- und Augenoperationen liegt auf Rekordniveau.
  • Anrufe zu Kindesmissbrauchshelplines schossen in die Höhe;
  • Als sich die Rate an Depressionen und Angstzuständen verdoppelte, sind Tausende von Alkoholikern, die sich erholt haben, zurückgefallen.
Eine zweite Infektionswelle in Teilen des Nordwestens und in Wales hat die Dienste weiter zerstört und möglicherweise verhindert, dass mehr Menschen lebensrettende Medikamente oder Behandlungen erhalten

Eine zweite Infektionswelle in Teilen des Nordwestens und in Wales hat die Dienste weiter zerstört und möglicherweise verhindert, dass mehr Menschen lebensrettende Medikamente oder Behandlungen erhalten

Mindestens 25.000 weitere Menschen sind während der Pandemie in England und Wales zu Hause gestorben, weil sie nicht in ein Krankenhaus gehen konnten oder wollten, was einem Anstieg von 43,8 Prozent gegenüber dem Normalniveau entspricht.

Und zwischen dem 20. März, als die Sperrung begann, und dem 11. September starben 85.400 Menschen in Privathäusern und nicht in Krankenhäusern oder Pflegeheimen. Dies ergab ein Bericht des Amtes für nationale Statistiken, was etwa 100 zusätzlichen Todesfällen pro Tag entspricht.

Prinz William sprach gestern, Tage nachdem die Stadt zu Tier-Drei-Virus-Beschränkungen gezwungen worden war, mit den Geschäftsinhabern von Liverpool und äußerte seine Befürchtungen einer "psychischen Gesundheitskatastrophe", falls die britische Unterhaltungsindustrie aufgrund von Covid-19 pleite gehen sollte.

Krebspatienten werden jahrelang leiden

Die Folgen der Sperrung von Krebspatienten werden laut Forschern jahrelang spürbar sein.

Wenn ein Tumor früh entdeckt wird, kann er oft schnell behandelt werden. Aber wenn es sich ausbreitet, kann ein Arzt oft nichts tun.

Die Unterbrechung der Krebsvorsorge während der Sperrung führt wahrscheinlich zu einer Zunahme von Fällen, die zu spät abgefangen wurden.

Laut Cancer Research UK sanken auch die Termine bei Hausärzten und zwischen April und August gingen die Überweisungen für dringende Krebserkrankungen in England um 350.000 zurück.

Die Behandlung wurde ebenfalls unterbrochen – allein im April sanken die Chemotherapieverfahren um 45 bis 66 Prozent.

Wissenschaftler der UCL errechneten, dass innerhalb eines Jahres 6.270 zusätzliche Briten in England aufgrund der Pandemie an Krebs gestorben sein werden. Krankenhäuser bereiten sich auf einen Sprung bei der Überweisung von Krebs vor, der die Auswirkungen einer zweiten Welle verstärken könnte.

Boris Johnson ist bereit, Greater Manchester trotz des Widerstands lokaler Politiker in die höchste Stufe der Sperrbeschränkungen zu bringen. Gespräche darüber, ob die Region in die Stufe Drei mit sehr hohem Risiko eintreten sollte, endeten erneut in einer Sackgasse.

Gesundheitsminister Matt Hancock sagte gestern, die Gespräche mit lokalen Führungskräften in South Yorkshire, West Yorkshire, Nottinghamshire, Teesside und im Nordosten würden fortgesetzt. Dies bedeutet, dass bis Ende dieser Woche weitere zehn Millionen Briten den härtesten Beschränkungen ausgesetzt sein könnten.

Wales kündigte an, wieder in das einzutreten, was der erste Minister Mark Drakeford als "zeitlich begrenzte Feuerpause" bezeichnete. Er beschrieb es als "einen kurzen, scharfen Schock, die Uhr zurückzudrehen, den Virus zu verlangsamen und uns mehr Zeit zu verschaffen".

Mehr als 43.700 Briten sind an Coronavirus gestorben, und Tausende weitere wären gestorben, wenn es im März keine Sperrung gegeben hätte. Da das Land jedoch strengeren Beschränkungen ausgesetzt ist, liegt der Schwerpunkt nun auf den indirekten Opfern dieser Maßnahmen.

Professor Karol Sikora, Krebsspezialist und Leiter der Buckingham Medical School, sagte, die Ergebnisse der Mail-Prüfung seien eine "beeindruckende Demonstration der" schädlichen Auswirkungen von Sperren auf die Gesellschaft ".

Er fügte hinzu: „Wenn Lockdown eine Droge wäre, müssten Sie die Nebenwirkungen berücksichtigen, und doch sind wir es nicht – obwohl wir scheinbar kopfüber in eine andere eintauchen.

"Die Leute behaupten manchmal, es sei eine Frage der Gesundheit gegenüber der Wirtschaft, aber es ist nicht so – es ist Gesundheit gegenüber Gesundheit." Professor Sikora unterstützt die Erklärung von Great Barrington von letzter Woche, die inzwischen von mehr als 10.700 Wissenschaftlern und 29.700 Ärzten weltweit unterzeichnet wurde. Er fordert die Regierungen auf, einen Ansatz des „gezielten Schutzes“ zu verfolgen, der die Verwundbaren schützt und gleichzeitig die Wirtschaft öffnet.

Sunetra Gupta, eine der Verfasserinnen der Erklärung und Epidemiologin der Universität Oxford, sagte: „Diese Papiere und Daten beginnen, Beweise dafür zu liefern, dass der Kollateralschaden immens war – und werden mit extremen Maßnahmen wie Sperrungen fortgesetzt. Es ist sicherlich an der Zeit, ihre vollen Kostenmaßnahmen zu berücksichtigen. & # 39;

Kinderoperationen gefährlich verzögert

Eine große Anzahl von Kinderpatienten konnte während der Sperrung keine Operationen durchführen, wie Zahlen zeigen.

Insgesamt 50.000 Kinder hatten die Operation von März auf Mai verschoben.

Die Zahlen wurden vom Royal College für Kinderheilkunde und Kindergesundheit bekannt gegeben.

In einem Bericht vom Juli wurde gewarnt: "Es ist dringend erforderlich, die elektiven chirurgischen Dienste für Kinder wiederherzustellen." It stressed there was an 'enormous excess of children…waiting far longer than the recommended 16-week limit for a procedure.'

Meanwhile, a British Paediatric Surveillance Unit survey showed that 32 per cent of experts had seen children whose treatment was delayed by the end of April.

In nine cases where the child died 'delayed presentation was considered a contributing factor'.

Professor Allyson Pollock, a public health expert at Newcastle University, said: 'I went along with the previous lockdown, but now the question is, did its harms outweigh the benefits, especially for children and young people?

'I'm very uncertain about the evidence for the benefits of further blanket measures. They have not been evaluated, and may do real harm. Without very significant investment and expanded public service capacity, the damage will never be repaired. Even with it, it's going to take years.'

The analysis shows that cancer patients have been especially hard hit and the full cost may not become clear for several years.

A British Medical Journal study found that during lockdown, endoscopies for bowel cancer averaged just 12 per cent of normal levels, and at one point were down to 5 per cent. Delays in bowel cancer diagnosis are likely to lead to between 650 and 2,250 excess deaths in England, according to another BMJ paper. A Lancet study found delays for breast, lung and oesophageal cancer patients caused by the lockdown were likely to cause a further 2,000 excess deaths.

A University College London study for the British Medical Journal found that hospital admissions for chemotherapy fell by up to 66 per cent in April, while urgent referrals for early cancer diagnosis were down by up to 89 per cent. It concluded that this would lead to 6,270 extra deaths in the first year.

According to another BMJ study, there were nearly 2,100 excess deaths in England from heart attacks and strokes, an increase of 8 per cent, while the numbers treated for strokes fell by 45 per cent. The Health Foundation said during the lockdown, accident and emergency visits in England fell by more than half, from more than 80,000 a week to just over 40,000.

Another Lancet paper discovered the average number of organ transplants performed every day fell from 11.6 to 3.1. The total who died while waiting for a transplant increased from 47 in the same period last year to 87 during the three months of lockdown.

How 'stay at home' led to fatal heart attacks

Thousands of Britons died of heart attacks and strokes at home in the first months of the pandemic.

Experts believe the Government's 'stay-at-home' message scared the sick into avoiding hospital even when they desperately needed it.

The toll from cardiovascular causes rose by 2,085 in England and Wales from March to June, analysis by the University of Leeds found. Professor Chris Gale, a cardiologist at the university, said the deaths 'should not have happened', adding: 'The message to stay at home was taken literally.

'The sad irony is that heart attack services remained fully operational… during the peak of the pandemic.'

The British Heart Foundation found that even among under-65s there were 800 more deaths from heart attacks and strokes than average from March to July.

Waiting lists for elective procedures rocketed. The numbers needing orthopaedic operations such as knee and hip replacements rose by more than a third to some 700,000. More than 600,000 people are now waiting for eye procedures for conditions such as cataracts.

According to the Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health, 50,000 children in England had scheduled operations cancelled. The impacts on mental health and addiction to drugs and alcohol were also severe.

The Office of National Statistics found that rates of depression across all ages and genders in England roughly doubled, from one in ten to one in five.

Another paper in the British Journal of Psychiatry said 18 per cent of UK adults reported having suicidal thoughts in the first month of the lockdown. Another suggested: 'There is a high probability that suicide rates will increase.'

The charity Action on Addiction found that patients recovering from drug or alcohol addiction were likely to suffer a relapse – almost 40 per cent of the total.

There was a surge in calls to the NSPCC emergency helpline, from an average of 5,593 a week before the lockdown to 8,287 in May.

Calls to the domestic abuse charity Refuge were also almost 50 per cent higher in April than the average before the pandemic.

Leading politicians called for the Government to protect health services if restrictions are tightened further.

Jeremy Hunt, chairman of the Commons health committee, told the Mail that the mistakes of the first lockdown must not be repeated.

'The last lockdown was devastating for cancer sufferers and we now know led to thousands of avoidable deaths,' the former health secretary said.

'Whatever course of action ministers opt for now, it is simply unconscionable for the NHS to become a Covid-only service: urgent treatment must continue at all costs.'

Labour MP John Spellar said: 'The collapse of the economy can kill people, delays in diagnosis and treatment kills people. I don't think Matt Hancock has got the right balance.'

The analysis was started by a senior doctor at a busy NHS hospital who has worked in both Covid and non-Covid wards.

Concerned that she was seeing many patients who were much more ill than she would have expected when they arrived in hospital, she decided to collate a database to present the studies of lockdowns' impacts in an easily accessible form.

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