Seven new coronavirus hotspots in the north of England and Wales were reported today by the Covid Symptom Tracker app, which uses test data and self-reported symptoms from more than three million people.
The mobile app, operated by King & # 39; s College London, has identified South Tyneside, Oldham, Redcar and Cleveland, Wirral, Bradford, Barnsley and Denbighshire as potential problem areas. This complements Blackpool, Halton and Manchester, which have been on the list since last week.
The UK coronavirus outbreak has slowed for the third year in a row, according to the Bureau of National Statistics. Experts estimate that there are currently only 2,200 new cases per day.
It is believed that 28,200 people in England are infected at the same time – 0.05 percent of the population, or one in 1,900 people.
That total, compiled by the Bureau of National Statistics, is an increase from last week's estimate of 24,600, but the number of new daily cases decreased from 2,400.
Similar data compiled by the King's college app also shows evidence of a small number of cases. It is estimated that there are 1,073 new cases each day.
The promising statistics are welcome and come as the Ministry of Health's official testing program has shown worrying increases in new cases in recent weeks.
After a six-week stay with fewer than 1,000 cases per day, the three-digit run was interrupted on August 9th and since then there have been 15 days with over 1,000 cases each. Yesterday, when 1,522 cases were confirmed, it was the highest in 11 weeks.
Data from the Covid Symptom Tracker app run by King & # 39; s College London has selected seven new potential coronavirus hotspots based on local test data and self-reported symptoms from some 3.9 million users in the UK (Image: areas highlighted in red were added to the hotspot list this week, while the gray ones were already on the list and continue to be risk areas.
Today's weekly report from the Office of National Statistics says that the outbreak in England is steadily progressing with cases neither rising nor falling significantly.
The report said: & # 39; There is some evidence that the percentage of people who tested positive for COVID-19 in July has risen slightly from a low in June, but this continues to decline …
"At this point in time, there is not enough evidence that the incidence has decreased over the past week, so we continue to report that the incidence rate for England remains unchanged."
The statistics show a mixed picture: the total number of people believed to be infected increased from last week (24,600 to 28,200), but the number of people who catch them on a daily basis is decreasing (2,400 to 2,200) .
The data always works in a range of possibilities, and the true number for daily new cases this week could be between 1,100 and 3,800, while the total number of infections could be between 20,000 and 38,000, according to the ONS.
The ONS report claims, as throughout the outbreak, that there is no measurable difference in the rate of infection between different regions of England.
It shows that the North West, Yorkshire, Humber, and London appear to have more positive test subjects than other regions, but the differences are not statistically significant.
In this regard, the ONS report contradicts other sources. All local lockdowns imposed by the government take place in the Midlands, Northern England or Scotland.
On an official Public Health England watchlist, only three out of 28 vulnerable areas south of the Midlands are – Luton, Swindon and Slough.
This is in line with the watch list created by the Covid Symptom Tracker team, which only includes areas in the Midlands and the north.
Data from the app project suggests there are 1,073 new cases of coronavirus in England every day.
These form the majority of the projected 1,292 daily cases across the UK, an increase from an estimated 1,265 (1,071 in England) last week.
The app data suggests there are currently 18,340 people with Covid-19 and that cases continue to decline – the overall estimate last week was 20,299.
Researchers behind the project said that flat and shrinking data showed that local outbreaks across the country do not spread and affect the national situation, even if they do emerge.
The team looked for hotspots of the disease, listing South Tyneside, Blackpool and Oldham as the worst hit areas, each with over one in 500 infected.
Data from the Covid Symptom Tracker app from King's College London and health technology company ZOE shows areas in the Midlands, North and Scotland appear to be hardest hit by the coronavirus
Blackpool and fourth and fifth-placed Halton and Manchester were on last week's list, but seven of the ten worst hit were newcomers.
These included Redcar & Cleveland, Wirral, Bradford, Barnsley and Denbighshire in North Wales.
Places that were on last week's list but no longer a cause for concern included Rochdale, Dundee, Nottingham, Blackburn, and Salford.
Project Leader Professor Tim Spector said, “Although we are still a long way from returning to normal life, the measures currently in place appear to be keeping this low level of Covid in most populations, which is good news.
“Until we have a vaccine, however, we will continue to walk along that knife edge, with the ever-present risk of cases recurring.
"While these local outbreaks are more common in the north of England, we are not seeing these small local outbreaks spreading further."
& # 39; You seem to be well controlled. While the official number of confirmed cases in the UK is slowly increasing, this may be due to increased and more efficient testing. & # 39;
King's College estimates, made in collaboration with health tech company ZOE, are based on results of 8,117 swab tests between August 9 and 22, as well as self-reports among the 3.9 million users of the app in Great Britain.
The number of people reporting coronavirus symptoms and testing positive for the disease has decreased since the beginning of summer and now appears to be decreasing in all regions, data from Covid Symptom Tracker shows
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