ENTERTAINMENT

Does the north have to be in stage three?


Every local authority in the north of England saw a drop in the rate of Covid-19 infection last week. This is coming from official figures, which heighten growing fears that millions of people have been unnecessarily forced to live under the toughest third-tier curbs.

With the exception of Liverpool, Cheshire, Cumbria and parts of Yorkshire, the rest of the north is prohibited from dining and pubs.

However, Public Health England's weekly surveillance report shows that only nine authorities saw infection rates spike during the seven-day period ending November 29, the last full week of England's lockdown.

None of the districts was in the north. In the Areas, increased numbers of diagnosed cases were spread across London and Kent, Southend in Essex and Bracknell Forest in Berkshire.

Up to 14 out of 20 authorities that recorded the biggest falls in infections were in the north – nine of them in tier three. The cases in Redcar and Cleveland, hit hardest when England's national lockdown ended on December 2, fell 53 percent to 141.5 cases per 100,000 people.

It was followed by Gateshead in Newcastle, where infections fell 46 percent to 149.5 per 100,000, and Leicestershire, where they fell 45 percent to 148.1 per 100,000.

Experts warned that while the receding Covid-19 infections were a “big sign”, it was unlikely that ministers would row draconian curbs until Christmas had passed over fears that the virus could spread in cases between the December 23rd and 27th would lead to an increase if the restrictions were relaxed.

MEPs have called for the "authoritarian" tiered system to be relaxed, warning that we are "so far down the rabbit hole that we have forgotten we even entered it".

The falls are another glimmer of hope for the country and come after the UK became the first country in the world to approve a Covid vaccine this week. The UK's largest vaccination campaign, which will involve the NHS and the Army, begins Tuesday.

However, Public Health England's weekly surveillance report shows that only nine authorities saw infection rates spike during the seven-day period ending November 29, the last full week of England's lockdown

WHICH TIER 3 AREAS SAY THE BIGGEST CASES OF INFECTION?

local community

Red car

Gateshead

Leicestershire

NE Lincolnshire

Middlesbrough

hull

Newcastle

Derbyshire

Bristol

Salford

% Change

-52.5%

-46.3%

-45.2%

-44.6%

-44.5%

-44.4%

-43.3%

-42.8%

-42.7%

) -42.1%

Infection rate

141.5

149.5

148.1

206.8

172.4

225.6

170.7

126.8

172.2

143

Of the sharpest decreases in infection in Tier 3 areas, North East Lincolnshire saw the fourth highest drop. The data shows that infections decreased 44.6 percent to 206.8 per 100,000 people in the week ended November 29.

Middlesbrough followed with a downward spiral of 44.5 percent to 172.3 per 100,000 and Hull with a 44.4 percent decline in infections to 255.6 per 100,000.

Ministers have refused to disclose the exact criteria for the tier system and have asked experts to allocate prior to a method of allocating levels with a finger in the air.

Officials say decisions will be made based on overall infection rates in areas, along with changes in infection rates, infections among those over 60 who are most susceptible to the virus, and pressure on the NHS.

The current set of restrictions is due to be reviewed on December 16. Housing Secretary Robert Jenrick suggested that some local authorities could be moved down before the Christmas shopping season in late November.

The northeast, first exposed to tightened curbs in October during the original Tier system, hastily scrapped despite evidence it worked, was home to the first, second, and fifth highest infection drops in Tier 3 Areas.

In England, the highest drop in infections was recorded in Cumbria – currently in Tier Two. Infections fell 56.6 percent to 67.2 per 100,000.

Cornwall and the Isles of Scilly – one of the few places in Tier One – saw the second highest drop at 53.7 percent to 26.2 per 100,000.

But Redcar and Cleveland in tier three saw the third highest drop.

The largest increase in the Covid-19 case rate was recorded in the Bracknell Forest, where it rose 38.5 percent to 88.1 per 100,000. It was followed by Medway, where it rose 22.1 percent to 537.4 per 100,000, and Bromley, where it rose 11.8 percent to 142.9 per 100,000.

Professor Paul Hunter, a University of East Anglia epidemiologist who authored a scientific study of the effects of the stages, told MailOnline it was "quite likely" that many councils in the north could soon move into the second stage.

But he warned it was "difficult to make those decisions now when we've been under national lockdown for four weeks and Christmas is approaching."

"I can certainly see an argument that the Northwest has been receding very effectively over the past few weeks and the problem is nowhere near as big as it was," he said.

“And hopefully – if it wasn't for Christmas – people would be comfortable dropping it.

WHICH AREAS SAY THE BIGGEST DROPS IN COVID-19 INFECTIONS?

local community

Cumbria (T2)

Cornwall (T1)

Redcar (T3)

Isle of Wight (T1)

Wirral (T2)

York (T2)

Plymouth (T2)

Gateshead (T3)

Herefordshire (T2)

Leicesterhre (T3)

% fall

-56.6%

-53.7%

-52.5%

-49.4%

-47.4%

-46.8%

-46.5%

-46.3%

-46%

-45.2%

Infection rate

67.2

26.1

141.5

28.2

59.3

67.4

63.3

149.5

63.3

148.1

The above data is from Public Health England's surveillance report for the week ended November 29th. It was compared to the previous week to see a percentage change.

WHICH AREAS INCREASES IN COVID-19 INFECTIONS?

local community

Bracknell (T2)

Medway (T3)

Bromley (T2)

Kingston (T2)

Kent (T3)

Lewisham (T2)

Haringey (T2)

Southend (T2)

Camden (T2)

– –

% rise

+ 38.5%

+ 22.1%

+ 11.8%

+ 7.8%

+ 6.7%

+ 6.6%

+ 6%

+ 3.5%

+ 1.7%

– –

Infection rate

88.1

537.4

142.9

163.9

289.7

06.3

38.5

128.3

89.6

– –

The above data is from Public Health England's surveillance report for the week ended November 29th. It was compared to the previous week to see a percentage change.

"I think there will be some changes on December 16th, but most of them will happen after we're over Christmas and people relax a bit – we will find out if Christmas is Armageddon, too, I think."

Professor Jonathan Ball, an expert on emerging viruses at the University of Nottingham, urged ministers to ensure that the tiered system is applied "fairly" across England.

"While I appreciate that it is a complex set of measures that the government is considering when deciding on the levels, they need to be careful when places are treated differently," he told MailOnline.

“The obvious case is London compared to the North West and North East – they're not much different.

The government came out and said they had more hospital capacity in London, which made the virus less of a threat. But it's difficult to tell people who have similar infection rates but are at different levels. & # 39;

Professor Lawrence Young, an infectious disease expert at Warwick Medical School, also warned that the government was determined to protect the NHS.

"Part of the inconsistency is that the government is taking a look at what is going on locally with the NHS and taking its temperature," he said.

Daily hospital stays for Covid-19 and the number of people hospitalized with the virus are falling in the north of England, according to the latest data from the Department of Health.

In the northwest, the number of daily Covid-19 recordings in one month has almost halved from an average of 305 on October 27 to 185.4 on November 27. In the hospitals of the region, Covid-19 patients are also evacuated with 18 percent fewer Covid-19 patients in 23 days from a high of 2,974.6 in beds on November 6th to 2,426.7 on November 27th.

It's a similar picture of a less polluted NHS in the northeast, where daily hospital stays for Covid-19 have almost halved, falling from a high of 397.9 on November 12 to 249.2 on November 27. Covid-19 patient numbers have also decreased by 16 per cent, from 3,290.3 on November 18 to 2,768.6 on November 29.

And in the Midlands, daily admissions of virus patients are down 23 percent from 382 on November 11, when they peaked, to 285.4 on November 27. The number of Covid-19 patients has also decreased by five percent compared to the peak, from 3,112.7 on November 22nd to 2,860.7 on November 29th.

NORTH WEST: Pressure on the NHS in this region is easing. The daily number of Covid-19 patients hospitalized has almost halved from an average high of 305 per day on October 27 to 185.4 on November 27

NORTH WEST: Pressure on the NHS in this region is easing. The daily number of Covid-19 patients hospitalized has almost halved from an average high of 305 per day on October 27 to 185.4 on November 27

NORTH EAST AND YORKSHIRE: Hospitals in this region can also afford to relax as the number of daily Covid-19 admissions increases from an average high of 397.9 on November 12 to 249.2 on November 27 almost half drops

NORTH EAST AND YORKSHIRE: Hospitals in this region can also afford to relax, as the number of daily Covid-19 admissions rose from an average high of 397.9 on November 12 to 249.2 on November 27 half sinks

CENTRAL COUNTRY: The NHS in this region has also seen a decline in hospital admissions. They fell from a high of 397.9 on November 12th to 249.2 on November 27th

CENTRAL COUNTRY: The NHS in this region has also seen a decline in hospital admissions. They fell from a high of 397.9 on November 12 to 249.2 on November 27

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