ENTERTAINMENT

Covid is shifting to young people: Two thirds of new infections in the UK are under 40 years old


Two-thirds of new coronavirus infections in the UK are under 40, while the rate among the elderly has fallen sharply in an "exceptional" shift.

The number of people over 50 who tested positive for Covid-19 now makes up only a fifth of nationwide tests, compared with three quarters in the spring.

Only three percent are now over 80 years old, up from 28 percent six months ago, The Times reported.

The maximum age range for infection is now in the 20s, but for most of the pandemic it was in the 80s – which raises hope that further restrictions can be reduced as it appears that older people are voluntarily shielding.

A government adviser has proposed a Swedish initiative to keep workplaces open while advising older people to stay at home.

This graph shows the number of new coronavirus infections by age group in the last two weeks

A government adviser has proposed a Swedish initiative to keep workplaces open while advising older people to stay at home. The picture shows the age of the patients who died in hospitals in England during a week in mid-August

A government adviser has proposed a Swedish initiative to keep workplaces open while advising older people to stay at home. The picture shows the age of the patients who died in hospitals in England during a week in mid-August

Mark Woolhouse of the University of Edinburgh, who is a member of the government's SPI-M modeling group, said the epidemic divides people by age.

Ministers have spoken out against plans to protect people according to their age and are concerned if infections are allowed to occur in young people, which will eventually spread to more vulnerable members of society.

Especially after France reported an increase in hospital admissions just a few weeks after the surge in cases among young people.

Last week, 2,042 cases were confirmed in people in their twenties, more than ten times the number among those over 80.

Professor Dame Anne Johnson, Professor of Infectious Disease Epidemiology at University College London, told BBC Radio 4: “This is a critical moment indeed. If you look at data from PHE across the country, we now see the highest number of infections detected in younger people, ages 20-29 and up to 45 years old.

The number of people over 50 who tested positive for Covid-19 now makes up only a fifth of nationwide tests, compared with three quarters in the spring. Pictured guests on Frith Street, Soho, on August 11th

The number of people over 50 who tested positive for Covid-19 now makes up only a fifth of nationwide tests, compared with three quarters in the spring. Pictured guests on Frith Street, Soho, on August 11th

Government figures show that on the darkest days of the crisis in April, around 20,000 people were hospitalized every day

Government figures show that on the darkest days of the crisis in April, around 20,000 people were hospitalized every day

According to government statistics, around 3,000 people with Covid-19 were hospitalized every day at the height of the crisis in April. The correct number is not yet known

According to government statistics, around 3,000 people with Covid-19 were hospitalized every day at the height of the crisis in April. The correct number is not yet known

Ministers have spoken out against plans to protect people according to their age and are concerned if infections are allowed to occur in young people, which will eventually spread to more vulnerable members of society. Pictured women on a night in Soho on August 29th

Ministers have spoken out against plans to protect people according to their age and are concerned if infections are allowed to occur in young people, which will eventually spread to more vulnerable members of society. Pictured women on a night in Soho on August 29th

"On the one hand, the good news is that we are not seeing an increase in hospital cases and deaths at the moment, but of course that reflects where the transmission is taking place."

She added that it was "incredibly important" to keep educating young people about the risks of coronavirus transmission.

Since July, when the hospitality sector was allowed to open, cases have increased among younger people.

The number of positive Covid-19 tests is lower in all age groups than it was in spring, but the number of elderly people with the disease has decreased.

Sir David Spiegelhalter, professor of public risk understanding at Cambridge University, said the age shift was "affected by the availability check, but also affected by a shift in the infected".

He added: "The elderly and the frail seem far better protected than they were when the epidemic started, but they need to be able to regain their freedom."

According to the Bureau of National Statistics, there are now an estimated 2,000 new cases per day each day – an average of 200 fewer than last Friday when the forecast was 2,200.

It is believed that 27,100 people in England are infected at one time – 0.05 percent of the population, or one in 2,000 people. That's a four percent decrease from last week's estimate of 28,200.

Arrivals from Portugal arrived at Manchester Airport today

A vacationer comes home from Portugal today

Vacationers returning to Portugal to the UK have not been placed on the UK quarantine list. The highest age range for infections is now in the 20s, but for most of the pandemic it was in the 80s

The UK yesterday confirmed an additional 1,940 cases of coronavirus in its largest increase in more than three months. The last time that many people were diagnosed with the virus was on May 30th.

An average of 1,530 people test positive every day – a jump of 30 percent in a week. The seven-day moving average has risen steadily since it hit a record low in mid-July.

Even so, scientists say that the increasing number of tests and still decreasing hospital stays show that a second wave is not arriving and that a better test system simply accepts more young people who only get slightly ill and have not been tested before.

Researchers at King & # 39; s College London also estimate that there are 2,000 new cases per day across the UK. But that's a 53 percent increase from their estimate the week before - 1,300

Researchers at King & # 39; s College London also estimate that there are 2,000 new cases per day across the UK. But that's a 53 percent increase from their estimate the week before – 1,300

Data from the Office for National Statistics: There are now an average of 2,000 new cases per day

Data from the Office for National Statistics: There are now an average of 2,000 new cases per day

According to the Ministry of Health, an additional 10 people have died in all situations, bringing the total to 41,537.

Most are expected to be in England as none have been reported by the individual health authorities of Wales or Scotland. One was in Northern Ireland.

The fact that deaths continue to fall – the seven-day average today is 37 percent lower than last Friday – also suggests that Britain is not plunging into a crisis like the one in March and April.

Instead, the death rate should stay low now as different groups of people become infected and the threshold for a test is lower.

Professor Carl Heneghan, a medical expert at Oxford University, said this week, “We are seeing a sharp increase in the number of healthy people who carry the virus but show no symptoms … They are being discovered because – finally – one a comprehensive system of national tests and tracings is in place. "

There is no sign of a second wave of COVID-19 in the UK, scientists say

The UK is not entering a second wave of coronavirus infections, and the young, mildly affected people diagnosed in rising case numbers are unlikely to trigger an increase in hospital admissions, experts say.

Health Secretary Matt Hancock warned this week that the UK "must do everything in our power" to stop a second wave of people hospitalized with the coronavirus, which began in Europe.

However, experts told MailOnline that Mr. Hancock's comments were "alarming" and that there were currently "no signs" of a second wave on the horizon. The data show that contrary to what the Minister of Health claims, hospital cases are not increasing sharply in Europe either.

As of Monday, there were only 764 people in the UK with Covid-19 in hospital, of whom only 60 are in intensive care. This is a sharp decrease from a high of 19,872 hospital patients on April 12th.

The number of hospital cases has been falling, although infections have increased since lockdown restrictions were lifted in early July. Experts say this is because the groups that are being infected and diagnosed now are completely different than they were when the pandemic began.

Scientists say younger people are the ones who cause infections and are less likely to get seriously ill and end up in the hospital. Because of this, hospital cases and deaths are not necessarily going to follow higher cases, and there may not be a fatal wave like the first.

Professor Carl Heneghan, a medical professional at Oxford University, said: “There is currently no second wave. What we are seeing is a sharp increase in the number of healthy people who carry the virus but show no symptoms. Almost all of them are young. They are discovered because – finally – there is a comprehensive system of national tests and tracings in place. & # 39;

Mr Hancock said Tuesday in the House of Commons that he feared this surge in infections in healthy people would creep into vulnerable groups if allowed to continue, saying this was a pattern in the US where cases are spiraling out of control.

But scientists shot down Mr Hancock's Doomsayer comments, pointing out that deaths in France or Spain have not increased and the reason why hospital admissions in the UK with diagnosed cases have not increased "simply reflects increased testing".

Official data from the continent shows that despite an increase in positive tests, European hospitals are not filling up with coronavirus patients – hospital admissions have decreased in France, Spain and Germany while cases have increased.

The Open University statistician, Professor Kevin McConway, told MailOnline: “An important point is that the number of Covid deaths in France has shown little sign of increasing recently. The number of deaths in Spain has increased somewhat but is not very pronounced at all. & # 39;

Statisticians say expanding testing capacity means infections are easier to find than it was when the pandemic started. In the UK alone, the number of tests performed has increased by 20 percent from early July to the present day. However, the number of positive results has only increased 0.3 percent over the same period, suggesting that new cases are a combination of more testing and only a small increase in infections at hotspots.