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According to SAGE experts, two-week closures during breaks could disrupt the spread of the coronavirus before vaccination


A top scientist and SAGE expert said today that two-week breaker shutdowns during school holidays could help disrupt the spread of the coronavirus before a vaccine.

Professor Graham Medley of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, who is a member of the government's Scientific Advisory Group for Emergency (SAGE) committee, said the bans would be best placed during school holidays – to minimize the impact on children.

He said the upcoming October halftime, Christmas vacation, and February break next year could all be used as dates to justify the breaker shutdowns.

But he stopped to support the mini-lockdowns, which he called mere proposals.

He told BBC Radio 4's Today program, “The basic idea, and it's an idea, people say I challenge it, but we don't challenge it, the work between me and Professor Matt Keeling and his team is a proposal .

"This is a way to reduce the prevalence and stay in control of the virus without having to put in strict restrictions."

Professor Graham Medley of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine also warned that some parts of the country could be back to where the country was in March – when national lockdown measures were imposed

He also warned that some parts of the country could be back where the country was in March - when national lockdown measures were imposed

He also warned that some parts of the country could be back where the country was in March – when national lockdown measures were imposed

"If you can do it at halftime, you may be able to do it over the Christmas break and the half-year of February."

When asked how long it would take for the circuit breaker to shut down, he told BBC Radio Four, "Well a week is not long enough because it takes a day to get someone infected who is infected before you come back, so it would take two weeks. & # 39;

"People have said it brings the can to its knees, but the treatment is getting better and the prospect of a vaccine, and low prevalence is effective because it makes everything in the system work better."

Professor Medley also warned that some parts of the country would be returning to where the country was in March – when national lockdown measures were put in place.

He said, “All the evidence suggests that prevalence is increasing and that we are in a situation where the focus is back on hospitals and health care.

“Within a few weeks, some areas will return to the position they were in at the end of March at the beginning of February.

"We are struggling right now to understand how to balance the imperative of preventing health care from being completely overwhelmed and how to mitigate the damage caused by prevention, which has an enormous cause."

It came when a senior government official said last night that coronavirus circuit breakers should be used during school holidays.

Three weeks ago, the Sage group of scientists advising ministers recommended a brief lockdown to halt the surge in cases of Covid-19 that the government refused to follow.

But yesterday, the senior government adviser spoke out in favor of a "whole series" of circuit breakers planned when schools separate.

The idea aims to disrupt school children as little as possible and allow families to plan ahead – although the cost of temporarily locking down the economy has been estimated at £ 2 billion a day.

The expert, who refused to be named, said, “One of the things we think would be good would be to plan to have a number of them, probably around school holidays, so they don't disrupt education – or maybe a week add to existing holidays.

As a SAGE member, Professor Jeremy Farrar, he said the current basic restriction, which includes a 10pm curfew, is "the worst of all worlds" as it caused economic damage and did not go far enough to quell the virus

As a SAGE member, Professor Jeremy Farrar, he said the current basic restriction, which includes a 10pm curfew, is "the worst of all worlds" as it caused economic damage and did not go far enough to suppress the virus

“Tell people they're coming so everyone can plan for them. And then if you don't need it well, we will cancel it. It seems to us that one of the damages of the lockdown is that they arrived out of the blue.

"Now of course you'd have to make sure that people didn't all have big parties in the week before the circuit was closed."

As a SAGE member, Professor Jeremy Farrar, he said the current basic restriction, which includes a 10pm curfew, is "the worst of all worlds" as it caused economic damage and did not go far enough to quell the virus .

The director of the Wellcome Trust told the BBC's newscast podcast that a brief “hiatus” should have been introduced in September and pleaded with ministers to “act” as soon as possible.

He added that national restrictions were a better option – and that it was "a very dangerous way" to turn the three-tier system dispute into a north-south or partisan issue.

Professor Farrar also said that countries like South Korea and New Zealand have so far controlled Covid-19 well and have a "national consensus on the way forward".

He added: “I think we have to come together as a country, this fragmentation, and frankly making this either a North-South or a partisan issue, it is a very dangerous path.

“What we don't want now is fragmentation or confusion – one area or one region or one city directed against another. I think that would be very, very detrimental to public health and the country's responsiveness. & # 39;

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